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CommScope Stock Before Q3 Earnings: To Buy or Not to Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-10-27 18:56
Core Insights - CommScope Holding Company, Inc. (COMM) is set to report Q3 2025 earnings on October 30, 2025, with revenue and earnings estimates at $1.42 billion and $0.37 per share respectively [1][7] - Earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026 have decreased by 0.77% and 1.22% respectively, indicating softer growth expectations [1][7] - The company has a strong earnings surprise history, averaging 98.3% over the last four quarters, with a notable surprise of 83.33% in the last reported quarter [2][3] Earnings Performance - CommScope's earnings surprise history shows consistent outperformance against estimates, with the most recent quarter reflecting an 83.33% surprise [2][3] - The company currently has an Earnings Surprise Prediction (ESP) of 0.00% and a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating a neutral outlook for the upcoming earnings report [4] Factors Influencing Results - CommScope achieved record downstream speeds of 16.25 Gbps in a DOCSIS 4.0 network, which is expected to positively impact upcoming earnings [5][8] - A partnership with Comcast for DOCSIS 4.0 network upgrades is anticipated to enhance performance in the ANS and Ruckus segments [8][9] - The divestiture of the Connectivity and Cable Solutions Segment to Amphenol Corporation is expected to improve liquidity and drive innovation in the remaining segments [9][10] Sales Projections - Projected net sales for the Connectivity and Cable Solutions segment are $966.66 million, while Ruckus and ANS segments are expected to generate $178.22 million and $291.10 million respectively [10] Market Performance - Over the past year, CommScope's stock has increased by 139.4%, outperforming the industry growth of 81.7% and competitors like Corning (90.2% increase) and Harmonic (29% decline) [11] Valuation Metrics - CommScope's shares are trading at a price/sales ratio of 0.6, which is lower than the industry average of 0.9 but higher than its historical mean of 0.26, indicating a relatively cheaper valuation [12] Investment Considerations - The company is experiencing strong demand in the ANS segment due to the rise of high data-intensive applications, driving the transition from DOCSIS 3.1 to DOCSIS 4.0 [15] - Demand in the CCS segment is also robust, supported by growth in cloud and data center projects, including GenAI initiatives [16] - Competition remains intense from industry leaders like Corning, Cisco, and Amphenol, particularly in communication infrastructure [16] Strategic Outlook - CommScope's broad customer base and diverse portfolio are expected to support growth in the coming quarters, despite challenges from geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic factors [17][19] - The strategic divestiture and focus on innovation are seen as positive factors for long-term growth potential [19]
CommScope Rides on Strength in ANS Segment: Will it Persist?
ZACKS· 2025-09-17 14:25
Core Insights - CommScope Holding Company, Inc. (COMM) is experiencing significant growth in its Access Network Solutions (ANS) segment, with revenues reaching $322 million, a 65% increase year over year, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $251.2 million [1][7] - The company's adjusted EBITDA saw a remarkable 132% year-over-year increase during the quarter [1] Revenue Drivers - The growth in ANS is primarily attributed to the strong deployment of DOCSIS 4.0 amplifier and node products, along with increased license sales [2][7] - The rising demand for high-capacity networks driven by high data-intensive applications such as cloud gaming, video conferencing, and remote work is propelling enterprises to upgrade from legacy DOCSIS 3.1 to advanced DOCSIS 4 [2] Competitive Landscape - CommScope's ANS segment faces competition from Cisco Systems Inc. and Harmonic Inc. Cisco reported a 12% year-over-year increase in networking revenues to $7.6 billion, driven by webscale infrastructure and network modernization initiatives [4] - Harmonic has a backlog of $504.5 million and is also benefiting from the industry's transition to DOCSIS 4, which could pose a competitive threat to CommScope [5] Customer Acquisition and Future Outlook - In the DOCSIS amplifier business, CommScope has gained traction through Full Duplex deployment with Comcast and secured several customer wins with Extended Spectrum DOCSIS [3] - The company's virtual cable modem termination systems (CMTS) have attracted multiple new customers, with management anticipating continued strong demand for the remainder of the year [3] Stock Performance and Valuation - CommScope's shares have increased by 188.1% over the past year, outperforming the industry's growth of 93.6% [6] - The company's shares currently trade at 0.63 times forward sales, which is lower than the industry average of 0.94 [8] Earnings Estimates - Earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026 have improved over the past 60 days, indicating positive market sentiment [9]