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Will Sterling's Expanding Margins Hold as Data Center Demand Surges?
ZACKS· 2025-10-23 15:10
Core Insights - Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. is experiencing growth due to its focus on mission-critical and large-scale projects, particularly in the data center market [1] - The company's profitability has improved through complex, multi-phase developments, leading to higher productivity and operational efficiency [1] - Strong demand in data centers, e-commerce facilities, and manufacturing projects is driving growth in high-margin markets [1] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company reported a 400 basis-point year-over-year increase in gross margin to 23.3%, attributed to improved mix and productivity gains [2] - The E-Infrastructure segment achieved a 28% operating margin, up more than 500 basis points year-over-year, with data center revenues more than doubling [2] - E-Infrastructure backlog increased by 44% year-over-year to $1.2 billion, supported by a steady pipeline of large, multi-phase projects [2] Profitability and Efficiency - The company noted a 40% profit improvement on projects where site and utility work were completed simultaneously, highlighting efficiency benefits from scale and integration [3] - Combined signed backlog and future phases provide visibility into nearly $2 billion of E-Infrastructure revenues, indicating sustained momentum [3] - For 2025, E-Infrastructure margins are expected to remain in the mid-to-high 20% range, supported by expanding data center activity and growing project complexity [3] Future Outlook - Strong backlog levels, continued bidding activity, and rising participation in high-return data center and e-commerce projects are expected to support sustained earnings growth [4] - Multi-year visibility across infrastructure programs and disciplined execution provide a solid base for long-term profitability [4] Peer Comparison - Margin expansion is a key focus for infrastructure peers, with MasTec, Inc. and EMCOR Group, Inc. demonstrating stronger profitability through operational efficiency and favorable project mix [5] - MasTec reported a 42% year-over-year increase in non-pipeline EBITDA to $257 million, with overall margins up 100 basis points [6] - EMCOR achieved a record operating margin of 9.6%, up 50 basis points year-over-year, targeting full-year margins between 9% and 9.4% [7] Stock Performance and Valuation - STRL shares have surged 31.7% in the past three months, outperforming the Zacks Engineering - R and D Services industry's decline of 11.3% [8] - The stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 31.07, indicating a premium compared to industry peers [11] - Earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026 have trended upward to $9.57 and $10.98 per share, respectively, indicating year-over-year growth of 56.9% and 14.7% [13]