Core Viewpoint - AES Corporation's shares have declined by 41% over the past year, significantly underperforming its industry and sector, as well as the broader S&P 500 index [1][2]. Performance Comparison - Other industry players, such as CenterPoint Energy and Consolidated Edison, have shown positive stock performance, with increases of 22.8% and 2.4% respectively over the same period [2]. Reasons Behind Downtrend - AES's poor performance is attributed to disappointing first-quarter 2025 results, with earnings and revenues missing Zacks Consensus Estimates by 27% and 8.7% respectively, alongside year-over-year declines [4]. - As of March 31, 2025, AES had a long-term debt of $26.41 billion and current debt of $4.18 billion, with cash equivalents of only $2.55 billion, indicating a weak solvency position [5]. - Jefferies downgraded AES's stock rating from Buy to Hold in April 2025, citing a weaker balance sheet as a primary concern [6]. Potential for Rebound - The growing adoption of renewable energy presents opportunities for AES, which completed 643 megawatts of solar and energy storage projects in Q1 2025 and plans to add 3.2 gigawatts of new renewables by year-end 2025 [7][10]. - AES is actively retiring coal-fired units to reduce carbon emissions and is pursuing growth in the liquefied natural gas market through long-term contracts [8]. Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AES's earnings per share for 2025 and 2026 has increased by 4.83% and 3.20% respectively over the past 60 days, indicating growing analyst confidence [11]. - Revenue estimates for 2025 and 2026 are projected at $12.74 billion and $13.35 billion, reflecting year-over-year growth of 3.8% and 4.8% [12]. Valuation - AES shares are trading at a forward Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 5.70X, significantly lower than the industry average of 14.62X, suggesting a relative discount [14].