Workflow
Debt and deficits
icon
Search documents
Stocks drive treasury yield moves
Youtube· 2025-11-14 20:02
Group 1 - The Treasury market has experienced significant volatility, with 10-year yields currently at 4.14%, up four basis points for the week, while two-year yields have also increased by four basis points [2] - The performance of the Treasury market is closely linked to stock market movements, particularly the S&P futures, which trade nearly 24 hours and show a correlation with Treasury yields [2] - European counterparts, particularly the UK and France, are facing fiscal challenges, with the UK having a £20 billion budget deficit, leading to rising yields in their bond markets [3][4] Group 2 - Despite the upward trend in yields, the Treasury market has not reached its highest yield close for the month, indicating a persistent expectation of high yields [5] - The relationship between equity markets and Treasury yields is highlighted, where declines in equities lead to lower Treasury yields, and recoveries in equities result in rising yields [6]
Stocks drive treasury yield moves
CNBC Television· 2025-11-14 20:02
Market Volatility & Treasury Yields - Treasury market experienced volatility this week, with yields ending near where they started [1] - 10-year Treasury yield is up approximately 4 basis points (0.04%) for the week, closing at 414 [2] - 2-year Treasury yield is also up approximately 4 basis points (0.04%) for the week [2] - Stock market performance, particularly S&P futures, is currently a significant driver of Treasury yields [2] European Debt & Fiscal Issues - UK guilt yields are at six-week highs due to a 20 billion pound (approximately $25 billion USD) hole in their fiscal budget [3] - France faces a similar scenario with debt issuance [4] - European counterparts' debt and deficits are influencing the market [3][4] US Treasury Market Trends - US 10-year Treasury yields are generally moving in the same direction as European yields, influenced by arbitrage [5] - There's a feeling that Treasury yields will remain high [5] - Equity market movements influence Treasury yields: yields decrease when equity markets decline and increase when equity markets recover [6]