Core Viewpoint - Defense and aerospace stocks are expected to continue their strong performance in 2026 due to rising geopolitical tensions and increased defense spending globally [1][2]. Geopolitical Context - The geopolitical landscape is shifting towards decentralized deterrence, leading to increased policy uncertainty [3]. - The U.S. military budget is proposed to increase to $1.5 trillion from $901 billion, which is a significant driver for defense stock gains [3]. Market Performance - The S&P Aerospace & Defense Select Industry Index has risen by 14% year-to-date, significantly outperforming the S&P 500, which has only increased by 1% [2]. - European countries are expected to increase their defense budgets to up to 3% of GDP, resulting in a projected 140% to 240% increase in spending on defense equipment [5]. Company Highlights - **Textron Inc. (NYSE:TXT)**: - Year-to-date gain of 10.96% with 36 hedge fund holders [11]. - Secured a $163.4 million contract to provide military vehicles to Ukraine [11][12]. - Analysts at Jefferies raised the price target to $115, expecting solid financial results [13]. - **AeroVironment, Inc. (NASDAQ:AVAV)**: - Year-to-date gain of 21.08% with 37 hedge fund holders [15]. - Analysts expect the company to benefit from U.S. and global defense priorities, with a price target set at $400 [15][16]. - Despite a stop-work order from the U.S. Department of Defense, RBC Capital maintains an Outperform rating with a price target of $375 [17].