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Howard Marks’ Latest 13F: Inside Oaktree’s Highest-Conviction Equity Positions
Acquirersmultiple· 2025-12-07 22:43
Core Insights - Oaktree Capital Management's latest 13F filing reveals a focus on deep-value cyclicals, energy companies with strong free cash flow, and special-situation equities with asymmetric payoff potential [1][2] Group 1: Top Holdings - TORM PLC (TRMD) is Oaktree's largest holding with 40,581,120 shares valued at $834.6 million, indicating strong conviction in the tanker cycle and a favorable supply/demand imbalance in the product tanker market [3] - Expand Energy Corp (CHK) holds 5,062,363 shares worth $537.8 million, reflecting Oaktree's long-term confidence in energy, particularly natural gas, despite minimal activity this quarter [4] - Garrett Motion (GTX) has 31,894,816 shares valued at $434.4 million, representing a classic special situation investment as the company continues to reduce leverage and grow cash flow post-restructuring [5] - AngloGold Ashanti (AU) consists of 4,185,261 shares worth $294.3 million, fitting Oaktree's strategy with improving margins and optionality in an inflationary environment [6] - Viper Energy (VNOM) has 6,285,062 shares valued at $240.2 million, showcasing a strong thematic bet on energy with predictable royalty cash flows [7] Group 2: Investment Strategy - Oaktree's portfolio heavily emphasizes deep-value cyclicals, particularly in tankers, energy producers, and commodity-linked businesses, all characterized by significant cash flow yield and depressed valuations [8] - The firm maintains a consistent philosophy of embracing dislocation, favoring investments in situations where pessimism is already priced in, such as restructuring plays and underfollowed foreign cyclicals [9] - Energy remains the highest-conviction theme for Oaktree, with multiple top holdings indicating an underestimation of cash generation durability across the sector [10] - Position changes reflect a blend of patience and opportunism, with Oaktree trimming stocks that rallied while increasing positions in VNOM and selected common stocks, aligning with a strategy of controlled aggression [11]