Jonhon (002179 CH) Equity Research Summary Company Overview - **Company**: Jonhon - **Industry**: Aerospace & Defence - **Market Cap**: CNY 87,739 million (USD 12,336 million) [6][15] Key Financial Highlights - **2Q25 Revenue**: CNY 6,345 million, up 22.4% year-on-year (y-o-y) [3] - **2Q25 Net Profit**: CNY 797 million, down 13.1% y-o-y [3] - **1H25 Revenue**: CNY 11,183 million, up 21.6% y-o-y [27] - **1H25 Net Profit**: CNY 1,437 million, down 13.9% y-o-y [27] - **Gross Margin**: 31.77% in 2Q25, down 6.70 percentage points y-o-y [26] Revenue and Profitability Outlook - **Earnings Estimates**: 2025 and 2026 earnings estimates lowered by 14.4% and 8.2% respectively due to slower-than-expected defence business growth [5][28] - **2027 Net Profit Estimate**: Expected to increase by 13.6% y-o-y [29] - **Target Price**: Maintained at RMB 50.00, implying a 20.7% upside from current levels [5][33] Business Segments Defence Business - **Defence Orders**: Slower growth anticipated; expected to pick up in 4Q25 driven by the 15th Five-Year Plan [11] - **Emerging Military Demand**: New opportunities in unmanned aircraft, robotics, deep-water equipment, and satellites [3] Civilian Business - **EV Connector Business**: Over 50% revenue growth in 1H25, expected to reach close to RMB 5 billion in 2025 [19] - **Liquid Cooling Products**: Revenue increased 27.1% y-o-y to RMB 956 million in 1H25; expected to grow significantly in 2026-27 [22][20] Competitive Positioning - **Liquid Cooling Market**: Jonhon's liquid cooling revenue for civilian applications is estimated to be more than three times that of Envicool in 2024 [4] - **Market Share**: Jonhon holds over 90% market share in fluid connectors among domestic brands in China [23] Valuation Metrics - **PE Ratio**: 21.7x for 2026e, below historical PE of 28x, indicating undervaluation [31] - **Dividend Yield**: Expected to increase from 1.9% in 2025 to 2.6% in 2027 [7] Risks and Challenges - **Defence Demand**: Weaker-than-expected demand could negatively impact earnings [40] - **Raw Material Prices**: Price hikes in materials like gold, silver, and copper affecting margins [26] - **EV Market Dynamics**: A weaker-than-expected EV upcycle could adversely affect Jonhon's earnings [40] Conclusion - Jonhon is positioned for growth in both its civilian and defence segments, with strong potential in liquid cooling products and EV connectors. However, challenges in defence orders and raw material costs present risks that need to be monitored closely. The current valuation suggests potential upside, making it a candidate for a "Buy" rating.