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Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT): A Bull Case Theory
Yahoo Financeยท 2025-09-16 16:59
Group 1 - Lockheed Martin Corporation's stock is perceived to have a ~35% upside over the next 18 months, driven by durable earnings power and misunderstood market catalysts [2] - The F-35 program is entering a critical upgrade cycle, enhancing its capabilities significantly, comparable to upgrading from an "iPhone 6" to an "iPhone 12" [2] - Lockheed Martin has a substantial order backlog with over 1,000 F-35 planes in service, creating a competitive moat that rivals find difficult to replicate [2][3] Group 2 - The company benefits from a strong portfolio, including missile systems that align with U.S. defense policy, and continued strong sales of upgraded F-16s [3] - Concerns regarding write-downs and stealth obsolescence are mitigated by the program's established position within allied supply chains and political economies [4] - Lockheed's current valuation at approximately 15 times earnings, along with significant shareholder returns, indicates a mispriced opportunity in a critical defense sector [4] Group 3 - Previous bullish analyses highlighted strong first-quarter results, a robust order backlog, and improved segment margins, despite a recent 2.13% stock depreciation [5] - The emphasis on the F-35 upgrade cycle and the potential of missile and fighter jet options remains underappreciated in the market [5]