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Howmet Aerospace Surges 84.9% in a Year: Should Investors Ride the Rally?
ZACKSยท 2025-08-14 18:01
Group 1 - Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) shares have surged 84.9% in the past year, significantly outperforming the industry and the S&P 500, which returned 14.5% and 17.2% respectively [1][7] - The stock closed at $176.80, trading below its 52-week high of $193.26 but above its 52-week low of $90.72, indicating solid upward momentum and price stability [4] - Commercial aerospace sales grew 8% in Q2 2025, while defense sales surged 21% year over year, contributing to the company's strong performance [7][10] Group 2 - The commercial aerospace market constitutes 52% of HWM's business, driven by increased demand for fuel-efficient aircraft and spare parts [9] - The defense aerospace market, making up 17% of the company's business, has seen robust orders for engine spares, particularly for the F-35 program [10] - The House of Representatives passed the fiscal year 2026 Defense Appropriations Act, allocating $831.5 billion, which is expected to benefit Howmet Aerospace's defense contracts [11] Group 3 - In the first half of 2025, Howmet Aerospace paid dividends of $83 million and repurchased shares worth $300 million, reflecting its commitment to returning value to shareholders [12] - The company increased its quarterly dividend by 25% to 10 cents per share in January 2025 and raised its share repurchase program by $2 billion [13] - As of the end of Q2 2025, Howmet Aerospace had cash equivalents and receivables of $545 million against short-term maturities of $5 million, indicating a strong liquidity position [14] Group 4 - Earnings estimates for HWM have increased over the past 60 days, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings at $3.57 per share, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 32.7% [15] - The consensus estimate for 2026 earnings is $4.28 per share, indicating a year-over-year growth of 19.8% [15] - HWM is trading at a forward P/E ratio of 44.09X, higher than the industry average of 27.88X, which may pose a risk if market sentiment changes [18] Group 5 - The persistent strength in both commercial and defense aerospace markets, along with a high defense budget, positions Howmet Aerospace favorably for growth [18] - The company's sound liquidity and shareholder-friendly policies enhance its investment appeal [18] - Despite its high valuation, positive analyst sentiment and growth prospects suggest it may be a good time for potential investors to consider HWM [19][20]