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Does Tyson's Decision Change Long-Term Investment Interest in Corn?
Yahoo Financeยท 2025-09-22 14:53
Core Insights - Tyson Foods announced plans to stop using high fructose corn syrup and other ingredients in its branded products, raising questions about the long-term investment outlook for the US corn market [1] - The corn market did not exhibit signs of transitioning to a demand market, indicating demand destruction rather than an increase, which would typically lead to a long-term change in price expectations [2] Market Positioning - The December corn futures contract closed at $4.24, down 6.0 cents for the week, with the December-March futures spread closing at a carry of 17.25 cents, covering 55.5% of the calculated full commercial carry, suggesting no dramatic market shifts [1][4] - The December-March spread reflects immediate-term demand in relation to new supplies as harvest progresses, with the 2025-2026 marketing year Dec-July forward curve closing at a carry of 33.0 cents, covering 45% of the calculated full commercial carry [4] - The Dec25-Dec26 futures spread closed at a carry of 38.0 cents, indicating that the commercial side does not foresee a significant change in market fundamentals due to expected decreases in demand for US corn [4] Crop Planting Trends - The Nov26 soybean/Dec26 corn futures spread closed at 2.32, suggesting a preference for more corn acres to be planted in the upcoming spring, although it is early in the tracking period from September through February [4]