Derivatives Market Development
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Asia's Growing Economic Power Shapes Global Derivatives Market
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-12 01:05
Economic Importance of Asia Pacific - Asia Pacific is expected to contribute around 60% of global growth in 2025 and 2026, with China, Japan, and India among the top five countries in global nominal GDP rankings [2][3] Rising Demand for Derivatives - Asia Pacific accounted for 62% of global derivatives trading in October 2025, with a month-on-month increase of 4.5% in trading volumes [4] - CME Group reported a record high average daily volume of 26.3 million contracts in October, with Asia Pacific's ADV rising by 29% year-on-year to 2 million contracts [5] Middle-Class Growth and Investment Trends - The number of middle-class consumers in Asia Pacific has surpassed that of the U.S. and Europe, projected to reach 3.5 billion by 2030, accounting for 65% of the global total [6] - Retail investors are increasingly diversifying their portfolios to manage risks associated with interest rates, currency fluctuations, and equity volatility [7] Institutional Demand and Market Development - Growing institutional demand for risk management is expected to drive the development of the futures and options market over the next five to ten years [8] Gold Derivatives Market - Asian consumers are showing a growing appetite for gold derivatives, with gold prices rising over 50% in the past year and reaching nearly $4,380 per ounce in October [9][10] - A third of CME Group Gold futures volume was traded during Asian hours in Q2 2025, an increase from 25% historically [10] China's Derivatives Market Growth - China's futures and options market has seen robust growth over the past 15 years, with increased access for Qualified Foreign Investors (QFIs) [11][12] - Recent regulatory changes have opened access to new commodities contracts and ETF options for QFIs, increasing the total number of tradeable products to over 100 [13] - The Shanghai Futures Exchange is consulting on proposals to allow foreign investors to use foreign currency as collateral and trade directly [14] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has implemented provisions to enhance regulation in the futures market [15] Vietnam's Market Reforms - Vietnam is introducing reforms to open its markets to foreign investors, including a new trading system and removal of pre-funding requirements for Foreign Institutional Investors [17] - FTSE Russell plans to upgrade Vietnam to Secondary Emerging Market status, which could increase market participation and demand for derivatives [18] - A new circular has streamlined the registration and settlement of securities transactions, and a VN100 Index Futures contract was launched in October [19] Future Outlook - Asia's growing economic significance is expected to drive substantial growth in its derivatives market, fueled by internal demand and regulatory reforms [20]