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Alternative labor data validating slow down, points to more Fed easing, says BlackRock's Rosenberg
CNBC Televisionยท 2025-10-07 21:30
Fixed Income Market Outlook - BlackRock's Q4 outlook emphasizes disruption and desynchronization of global economies, creating opportunities beyond the US fixed income market [2] - The firm suggests investors consider global opportunities due to differing central bank actions across varying inflation environments [2] Investment Strategies - BlackRock favors the short to middle end of the yield curve, but notes improved valuations in the back end, suggesting adding some exposure there [3][4] - The firm highlights municipal bonds as an attractive opportunity due to a yield premium compared to treasuries [8] Alternative Data & Economic Indicators - BlackRock utilizes alternative labor market data, including job posting and wage data, to gauge the macro environment, especially during government shutdowns [6][7] - Wage data validates the economic slowdown already priced into the market, supporting expectations of continued Federal Reserve easing [7] Impact of Macroeconomic Factors - A weakening dollar and uncertainty around the back end of the treasury curve due to fiscal policy are driving investors towards alternative stores of value like gold [9][10] - Declining real interest rates, resulting from lower inflation expectations and Fed rate cuts, are also supporting gold prices [11]