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Heritage vs. Palomar: Which P&C Insurer Offers Better Returns?
ZACKSยท 2025-09-18 17:20
Industry Overview - The property and casualty (P&C) insurance industry is experiencing an increase in catastrophic events, alongside a recent 25 basis points rate cut by the Fed, with indications of two more cuts in 2025 [1] - Despite challenges, the industry is expected to grow due to a shift towards personalized offerings and enhanced customer engagement through digital advancements [1] - Insurers are maintaining profitability through increased premium volumes, strong policyholder retention, and favorable rate environments [1] Heritage Insurance Holdings (HRTG) - HRTG is focusing on profitability by maintaining rate adequacy, applying stringent underwriting criteria, and limiting new policy issuance in saturated markets [3] - The company plans to cautiously resume personal lines underwriting in Florida and the Northeast due to recent legislative changes and a more favorable reinsurance environment [4] - HRTG aims to re-enter high-margin markets in 2025 while emphasizing rate integrity, data-driven exposure management, and operational efficiency [4] - The excess and surplus (E&S) lines segment is a significant growth driver as HRTG expands into new states and improves reinsurance cost efficiency [5] - HRTG is investing in technology to enhance InsurTech capabilities, including predictive modeling and cloud-based systems [6] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for HRTG's 2025 revenues and EPS indicates a year-over-year increase of 3.1% and 104%, respectively [14] Palomar Holdings (PLMR) - PLMR is leveraging data analytics and underwriting prudence to capitalize on market dislocations, focusing on specialty lines to lower operational volatility [7] - The company aims to be a leader in the crop business, projecting over $200 million in premiums for 2025 and $500 million in the intermediate future [10] - PLMR's investment income is growing due to an increased average balance of investments and higher yields on invested assets [11] - The company maintains a strong capital position with a debt-free balance sheet and engages in share buybacks [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PLMR's 2025 revenues implies a year-over-year increase of 47%, with EPS expected to rise by 42.6% [16] Comparative Analysis - HRTG shows higher return on equity (ROE) at 33.4% compared to PLMR's 22.6%, indicating better efficiency in generating profit from shareholders' equity [18] - HRTG shares have gained 105.6% year-to-date, outperforming PLMR's 9% gain, and HRTG shares are considered less expensive than PLMR's [19] - HRTG is rated as a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), while PLMR holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting HRTG may be a safer investment for higher returns [19]