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ETFs to Watch as Walmart Shares Slip Despite Q4 Earnings Beat
ZACKS· 2026-02-20 16:31
Core Insights - Walmart Inc. reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 results, but shares fell 1.4% due to a disappointing earnings outlook for fiscal 2027, which did not meet Wall Street expectations [1][10] Financial Performance - Walmart's adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for Q4 exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.4%, while revenues surpassed the consensus by 0.3% [6] - The company's total sales grew in mid-single digits year-over-year, with the bottom line increasing in double digits [6] - E-commerce sales experienced solid double-digit growth, and advertising revenue surged by 37% year-over-year [7] - Consolidated membership income rose over 15%, driven by strong performance in Sam's Club in China, which saw more than 35% growth [7] - Adjusted operating income grew by double digits year-over-year, supported by strong sales growth, higher gross margins, and membership fee revenues [8] Future Outlook - For fiscal 2027, Walmart anticipates e-commerce to be the primary growth driver, with modest increases from store and club sales [9] - The company projects earnings in the range of $2.75-$2.85 per share for fiscal 2027, lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.93 [10] Investment Opportunities - Investors may consider ETFs with significant exposure to Walmart to capitalize on its growth while mitigating idiosyncratic risks [4] - Notable ETFs include: - State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) with $17.20 billion AUM, 11.39% weightage in Walmart, and a 6.7% gain over the past year [13][14] - Vanguard Consumer Staples ETF (VDC) with $7.7 billion in net assets, 15.03% weightage in Walmart, and a 6.8% gain over the past year [15] - Fidelity MSCI Consumer Staples Index ETF (FSTA) with $1.39 billion in net assets, 14.95% weightage in Walmart, and a 6.5% gain over the past year [16] - VanEck Retail ETF (RTH) with $263.5 million in net assets, 12.50% weightage in Walmart, and an 11.9% gain over the past year [17]