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AST SpaceMobile Trades at a Premium: Time to be Cautious?
ZACKSยท 2025-07-09 17:31
Company Overview - AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) has successfully deployed its initial set of five commercial satellites named Bluebird in low earth orbit, featuring over 5,600 cells within the premium low-band spectrum [1] - The company plans to launch its next generation of commercial "Block 2 BlueBird (BB) satellites" in the second half of 2025, which will include communication arrays of up to 2,400 square feet [1] Financial Performance - AST SpaceMobile trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 67.86, significantly higher than the industry average, indicating a premium valuation that may warrant caution among investors [2] - The company's research and development costs surged by 67.6% during the first quarter of 2025, contributing to margin pressure in a volatile macroeconomic environment [5][9] - Earnings estimates for 2025 have increased by 3.85% to a projected loss of $1, while estimates for 2026 have decreased by 9.76% to a loss of 90 cents [10] Competitive Landscape - ASTS operates in a highly competitive mobile satellite services market, facing competition from established players like SpaceX's Starlink and Globalstar, which are also developing satellite communications technology using LEO constellations [6] - Globalstar, a key competitor, trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 11.79, while Viasat, Inc. (VSAT) is investing in its ViaSat-3 broadband communications platform and trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 0.44 [6][7] Market Performance - Over the past year, shares of AST SpaceMobile have increased by 262.8%, outperforming the industry's growth of 37.7% [8]