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AeroVironment Books A 'Stellar Quarter,' But Shares Dive
Investors· 2026-03-11 13:48
Core Viewpoint - AeroVironment reported strong earnings growth but missed revenue expectations, leading to a decline in stock price despite a positive outlook on drone demand and backlog growth [1] Financial Performance - Earnings increased by 113% to $0.64 per share adjusted, below expectations of $0.68 [1] - Revenue surged by 143% to $408 million, falling short of FactSet's forecast of $476 million [1] - Autonomous-systems revenue rose by 66% to $278.7 million, compared to forecasts of $304 million [1] - Funded backlog grew to $1.1 billion from $726.6 million as of April 30, 2025 [1] Outlook Adjustments - Full-year revenue outlook revised down to $1.85 billion to $1.95 billion from a previous range of $1.95 billion to $2 billion, with FactSet expecting $1.96 billion [1] - Expected earnings per share for 2026 adjusted to a range of $2.75 to $3.10, below estimates of $3.31 [1] SCAR Program and Market Position - AeroVironment recorded $151.3 million in goodwill impairments during the quarter [1] - The company received a stop-work order regarding its Badger phased-array antenna systems amid Space Force's reopening of the SCAR program [1] - Analysts suggest that multiple vendors may be involved in the SCAR program, reducing dependency on a single source [1] Analyst Insights - Analysts noted that the SCAR contract termination overshadowed strong core business growth, which accelerated to 38% from 21% in the previous quarter [1] - Demand for Switchblade missile systems remains robust, and confidence in future contracts for new technologies is high [1] - The geopolitical backdrop is expected to drive higher demand for drone systems as countries seek to enhance their unmanned capabilities [1] Stock Performance - AeroVironment shares fell 7% early Wednesday and closed down 2.5% on Tuesday [1] - The stock has been in a downtrend since mid-January, exacerbated by news regarding the SCAR program [1] - Despite a 58% gain in 2025, the stock is down approximately 8% year-to-date through Tuesday [1]