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When a Healthcare Giant Gets Sick: Elevance Health's 20% YTD Decline
ZACKS· 2025-08-11 17:25
Core Insights - Elevance Health, Inc. (ELV) has experienced a significant decline of 20.3% year to date, underperforming compared to industry peers and the S&P 500 Index [1][7] - The stock closed at $293.99, near the lower end of its 52-week range of $273.71–$567.26, potentially presenting an attractive entry point for value investors [1] - Elevance has a market capitalization of $66.2 billion, with peers like UnitedHealth Group and Centene also facing challenges this year [1] Membership and Revenue Challenges - Medicaid membership has decreased by 15.1% in 2024 and an additional 4.1% in the first half of 2025, impacting revenue [4] - Membership in Medicare Supplement and employer group risk-based segments is also declining, with expectations of continued volatility into 2026 due to recent policy changes [4][6] Rising Costs and Margin Pressure - Medical costs are increasing due to higher utilization, leading to a deterioration in the benefit expense ratio, which worsened by 260 basis points year over year to 88.9% in Q2 [5] - The full-year benefit expense ratio is projected to be around 90%, with expectations of further increases in the second half of the year [5] Analyst Sentiment and Earnings Outlook - Management has revised its full-year 2025 adjusted EPS outlook down to approximately $30, from a previous range of $34.15-$34.85, reflecting a decline from the 2024 figure of $33.04 [6] - Analysts have sharply cut 2025 and 2026 EPS estimates, with the current consensus estimate for 2025 EPS at $30.59, indicating a 7.4% decline from the prior year [9] Valuation Metrics - Elevance Health trades at a forward 12-month P/E of 9.24X, significantly below its five-year median of 13.44X and the industry average of 14.32X, indicating investor caution [10] - Despite a steeper sell-off, peers UnitedHealth and Centene command higher multiples of 14.05X and 9.94X, respectively [10] Long-Term Growth Potential - Elevance has solid long-term growth drivers, including product expansion, revenue diversification, and premium increases, which may help mitigate current pressures [11] - The company is reallocating resources to more profitable areas and has a return on invested capital of 9.36%, outperforming the industry average of 5.80% [12] Shareholder Value Initiatives - Elevance maintains consistent dividend payouts with a yield of 2.33%, higher than the industry average of 1.37% [13] - The company repurchased shares worth $379 million in Q2 2025, with approximately $8 billion remaining under its buyback authorization as of June 30, 2025 [13]
Here's Why Investors Should Consider Retaining Danaher Stock Now
ZACKS· 2025-05-22 14:55
Core Business Performance - Danaher Corporation has seen strong performance in its bioprocessing business, with orders increasing for the seventh consecutive quarter, and anticipates core revenues to rise in high-single-digits year-over-year for 2025 [1] - The Biotechnology segment is also performing well, with core revenues increasing by 7% year-over-year in the first quarter, and similar growth is expected for 2025 [2] Acquisitions and Growth Strategy - The company acquired Abcam plc for approximately $5.7 billion in December 2023, enhancing its Life Sciences segment and contributing to a 0.5% increase in total revenues in the first quarter [3] Shareholder Returns - Danaher is committed to returning value to shareholders, having paid dividends of $194 million in the first quarter of 2025, compared to $768 million in the same quarter of 2024, and increased its dividend by 18.5% to 32 cents per share in February 2025 [4] Segment Challenges - The Life Sciences segment faced a 4% decline in core revenues year-over-year due to lower demand in academic and government markets, as well as a sales decline in the filtration business [5] - The Diagnostics segment also struggled, with core revenues declining by 1.5% year-over-year due to sluggish demand for respiratory disease tests [8] Financial Position - Danaher reported long-term debt of $16 billion, a 3% increase sequentially, with current liabilities at $6.6 billion, exceeding cash equivalents of $2 billion, and high interest expenses of $72 million in the first quarter [9][10]