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Blackstone Secured Lending Fund (NYSE:BXSL) 2026 Conference Transcript
2026-02-10 22:22
Summary of Blackstone Secured Lending Fund Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Blackstone Secured Lending Fund (NYSE: BXSL) - **Date**: February 10, 2026 Key Industry Insights - **Macro Environment**: The broader economy is resilient with strong corporate earnings and consumer spending. Q3 GDP growth is accelerating, and default rates in private credit declined by approximately 30% in 2025, indicating a healthy economic backdrop [3][4] - **Direct Lending Activity**: There was a significant increase in direct lending activity, up over 50% quarter-over-quarter, suggesting a recovering deal environment [3][4] Financial Performance and Strategy - **Leverage and Liquidity**: The company maintains a leverage profile of approximately 1.15 times average fund leverage, with an ending leverage of about 1.2 times and $2.5 billion in liquidity. The focus is on utilizing liquidity measures and additional leverage as the deal environment improves [5][6] - **Dividend Considerations**: The management emphasizes the importance of aligning the cost of capital with the ability to generate attractive investments. They are cautious about dividend resets, especially in light of recent peer actions [8][9] Software Sector Insights - **Software Exposure**: Software accounts for about 20% of direct lending volume and BDC portfolios. The company has approximately $4.5 billion in enterprise value in software investments, with a loan-to-value ratio of 37% [10][11] - **AI Disruption Risks**: The management is actively assessing AI disruption risks in software portfolios, focusing on understanding and mitigating these risks through diversified investments [12][16] Market Dynamics - **Valuation and Recovery**: The median Price-to-Book value for BDCs is around 0.8, indicating a high probability of attractive returns in the future. The management believes that the market will eventually recognize the value, leading to a recovery [20][21] - **Redemptions and Liquidity**: Despite elevated redemptions in the private BDC sector, there was still net growth in the fourth quarter, indicating strong interest in excess returns. The industry maintains a high degree of liquidity, with approximately $70 billion available [22][23][24] Competitive Landscape - **Manager Differentiation**: The management notes that while there are many new entrants in the BDC space, the majority of capital is raised by a small group of firms with significant institutional presence. This creates opportunities for those firms to capitalize on the market [25][27] Risk Factors - **Excluding Credit Risks**: Investors should pay attention to liquidity and the correlation between book value degradation and time spent below book value. High expense ratios can also impact returns negatively [33][34] Future Outlook - **Spreads and Market Conditions**: Spreads remain tight, but there is potential for widening due to economic fears. The management expects stability in spreads unless significant market fear arises [29][30] - **Legislative Changes**: The management is optimistic about potential legislative changes that could enhance institutional investment in BDCs, improving transparency and market dynamics [31][32] Conclusion - The Blackstone Secured Lending Fund is navigating a resilient macroeconomic environment with a focus on strategic investments, particularly in software and private credit. The management is cautious yet optimistic about future growth and recovery in the BDC market, emphasizing the importance of liquidity, risk management, and alignment of capital costs with investment returns.