Good morning. It is Sunday, July 13th. 81 years ago, next Saturday on July 22nd, 1944, leaders of 44 allied nations were waking up at the historic Grand Mount Washington, New Hampshire.They'd spent a busy few days there. And on that particular day, the effort to create a new post-war economic order would culminate in the signing of an unprecedented agreement, one which would establish for the world of money what World War II established for the world of military power, that the US was the global leader. The ...

Tariffs and Trade - Uncertainty surrounding tariffs is hindering mergers and acquisitions [1] - The impact of tariffs on the S&P 500 earnings is estimated to be around 17% [6] - The market is waiting to see the actual impact of tariffs on earnings this earning season [3] - A tariff level around 20% is considered a threshold where adjustment time increases [3] Macroeconomic Factors - The underlying economy is showing signs of being "okay to good" based on US GDP growth forecasts [4] - A sharp decline in the dollar could become a tailwind for future quarters [5] Analyst Estimates and Market Expectations - Analyst estimate dispersion is wide, potentially leading to more conservative estimates [7] - Wider analyst dispersion tends to lead to bigger beats for the S&P 500 as a whole [7]

Jim South to the president of Apollo Global Management. Jim, good morning. Good morning, Jonathan, and happy birthday, sir.It's good. Thank you very much. I appreciate it.We will spend too much time on the Federal Reserve, but I do want your reaction to this journal piece overnight. Well, I think I think that the president's already one, it's a great distraction of headlines. I personally don't think he's going to name anybody too early because right now he's in the catbird seat of blaming without accountab ...