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Is Central Garden & Pet Company a Buy at Its Current Valuation?
ZACKS· 2026-01-15 16:45
Core Insights - Central Garden & Pet Company (CENT) is trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 11.85X, which is below the industry average of 16.71X, raising questions about whether this discount reflects challenges or presents a buying opportunity [1][8] Financial Performance - CENT shares have increased by 10.8% over the past three months, slightly underperforming the industry's rise of 11.3% but outperforming the sector's decline of 2.5% and the S&P 500 Index's gain of 6.4% during the same period [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates year-over-year sales growth of 0.8% for the current year and 1.2% for the next year, while earnings are expected to grow by 1.1% and 4.7% respectively [12][13] Strategic Initiatives - The company is refining its portfolio to focus on high-growth, high-margin categories while exiting underperforming segments, including the sale of its garden distribution business and a strategic exit from the pottery business [3] - Management is intentionally exiting lower-margin, more volatile businesses, which is expected to lead to a sales decline in fiscal 2025 due to reduced exposure to lower-margin products and the transition of certain product lines to a direct-to-retail model [4] Operational Efficiency - A key component of CENT's strategy is the "Cost and Simplicity" program, which has improved the company's margin profile, resulting in an adjusted gross margin expansion of 210 basis points to 32.1% in fiscal 2025 [5][8] - The company is accelerating its shift towards e-commerce, with e-commerce now accounting for 27% of Pet segment sales and over 10% of Garden segment sales, indicating a strong adaptation to changing consumer behaviors [9] Market Resilience - Despite market volatility and weather fluctuations, CENT's core segments have shown resilience, with the Garden segment achieving its largest point-of-sale year on record and the Pet segment maintaining overall market share [10]