EBITDA Valuation
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Trex Shares Rise as DA Davidson Upgrades Stock to Buy
Financial Modeling Prep· 2026-01-12 22:02
Core Viewpoint - Trex's stock was upgraded to Buy from Neutral by DA Davidson, with a new price target of $50, reflecting confidence in the company's strategic actions and market position [1] Group 1: Stock Performance and Analyst Upgrade - Trex shares increased by over 2% intraday following the upgrade [1] - DA Davidson raised the price target from $45 to $50, indicating a positive outlook on the stock [1] Group 2: Market Dynamics and Valuation - Concerns regarding pricing pressure, competitive dynamics, and market share losses are viewed as overly discounted in Trex's current valuation [1] - The stock is trading at approximately 12x to 14x forward EBITDA and is down about 37% over the last twelve months, presenting an attractive entry point [2] Group 3: Long-term Growth Potential - Favorable long-term trends in material conversion towards composite decking could support above-market revenue growth while maintaining attractive margins [2] - The updated price target is based on a valuation range of roughly 15x to 17x projected EBITDA for 2026–2027 [3]