ETF arbitrage mechanism
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The Day Gold ETFs Didn’t Trade Like Gold - SPDR Gold Shares (ARCA:GLD), abrdn Physical Precious Metals Basket Shares ETF (ARCA:GLTR), Strategy Shares Gold Enhanced Yield ETF (BATS:GOLY), iShares Silve
Benzinga· 2026-02-02 19:52
Core Viewpoint - The recent sharp decline in gold and silver prices is attributed more to liquidity issues and margin calls rather than a fundamental decrease in demand for these precious metals [1][2]. Group 1: Market Behavior - Spot gold experienced a drop of over 12% in a single session, while silver fell approximately 33%, marking one of the most significant selloffs in decades [1]. - The behavior of gold and silver ETFs during this period highlighted the breakdown of leverage and liquidity, affecting their pricing mechanisms [1][3]. Group 2: Volatility and Market Dynamics - David Miller, CIO at Catalyst Funds, emphasized that the volatility observed does not undermine the long-term bullish outlook for gold as a primary reserve asset, suggesting that historical corrections often present buying opportunities [2]. - The extreme volatility in silver was noted to be due to its dual role as both an industrial metal and a safe haven, leading to sharper sell-offs when growth expectations falter [4]. Group 3: Margin Requirements and Liquidation - The CME Group's increase in margin requirements for gold and silver futures intensified selling pressure, forcing traders to either post additional collateral or liquidate their positions, which further exacerbated ETF pricing dislocations [4]. - Mark Malek, CIO at Siebert Financial, pointed out that crowded trades can unwind without negative news, indicating that the recent rally in gold was both macro-driven and narrative-fueled, embedding significant risk [5]. Group 4: Long-Term Outlook - For ETF investors, the events of January 31 were characterized as a liquidity and leverage event rather than a collapse of gold's long-term investment case, suggesting that the narrative surrounding gold remains intact despite short-term volatility [5].