Earnings trading strategies

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Buy or Sell RTX Stock Ahead of Its Upcoming Earnings?
Forbesยท 2025-10-18 11:25
Core Insights - RTX Corporation is set to announce its earnings on October 21, 2025, with historical trends indicating a tendency for negative one-day returns following earnings announcements [2][3] - The market consensus anticipates earnings of $1.41 per share and sales of $21.32 billion, compared to $1.45 per share and $20.09 billion in the same quarter last year [3] - RTX currently has a market capitalization of $211 billion, with $84 billion in revenue, $8.3 billion in operating profits, and a net income of $6.1 billion over the past twelve months [4] Earnings Reaction History - Historically, RTX has experienced negative returns on 55% of the days immediately following earnings releases, with an average decline of -1.6% and a maximum drop of -10.2% [2][10] - Positive one-day returns have occurred approximately 45% of the time over the last five years, dropping to 42% in the last three years [10] - The median of positive returns is 2.6%, while the median of negative returns is -1.6% [10] Trading Strategies - Traders can leverage historical trends by assessing pre-earnings positioning and analyzing the relationship between immediate one-day returns and medium-term returns [6][8] - A strategy involving correlation analysis between 1D and 5D returns can help traders position themselves effectively based on favorable post-earnings returns [8]