Hopes for an economic reacceleration are helping to fuel a "rotation trade.†...

Core Viewpoint - Gold and silver prices are reaching all-time highs due to escalating geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic conditions that are expected to persist, driven by central bank diversification into gold and increased demand from ETFs [1][2][6]. Geopolitical Factors - Ongoing geopolitical tensions, such as the situation in Venezuela and rising militancy in Nigeria, are contributing to a renewed risk premium in the market [2][3]. - Concerns regarding the independence of the Federal Reserve and potential fiscal issues, including a Supreme Court tariff decision, could further impact market dynamics [3]. Market Dynamics - Central banks are expected to maintain a structural demand for gold as they diversify away from dollar assets, which is anticipated to support prices for years [2]. - White metals have been added to the critical minerals list, raising the possibility of tariffs that could influence market conditions [4]. Demand from ETFs - ETFs have significantly increased their purchases of gold, surpassing central bank buying for the first time in five years, indicating strong retail interest in the market [6][7]. - This influx of ETF investment is seen as a potential tailwind for gold prices, although it also poses risks of sharp market corrections if sentiment shifts [7][8]. Economic Considerations - A potential reacceleration of the economy, driven by tax reforms from the Trump administration, could positively impact industrial metals like platinum, silver, and copper [5].

Louis Fed President Jim Bullard joins us now. And I am so excited to speak with you, Jim, because right now I'm looking at all of this data that suggests a really strong U.S. market, a really strong U.S. economy, people continuing to be able to spend and their incomes rising. What about this picture makes you think that the Fed needs to be cutting rates more aggressively.Yeah, Thanks for having me. So these numbers look to me like they're they're consistent with what markets are expecting. I think markets h ...