Economic data blackout
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'Flying blind.' Shutdown-induced economic data blackout leaves U.S. investors in the dark
MSNBC· 2025-10-10 04:14
Time now for money, power, politics. Tonight, the US bailout of Argentina has been finalized. Treasury Secretary Scott Besson announced today that the United States directly purchased Argentine pesos as part of a $20 billion currency swap, but he insists the deal is not a bailout.So, let's make something clear. downplaying it as merely a swap agreement, exchanging pesos for dollars to stabilize their economy. Well, at the very least, that is not the full picture.Now, we might not be writing a direct $20 bil ...
What a government shutdown means for markets, plus ADP reports US private payrolls drop by 32,000
Youtube· 2025-10-01 14:53
Group 1: Government Shutdown Overview - The US government has shut down for the first time in 7 years due to a failure to reach a spending agreement between Republicans and Democrats [1][6] - Democrats are demanding healthcare provisions, including the extension of Affordable Care Act subsidies and a reversal of Medicaid cuts [2] - The shutdown could lead to an economic data blackout, affecting key reports like weekly jobless claims and the September payrolls report [4][33] Group 2: Market Impact - Stock futures and the dollar are declining as traders assess the risks associated with the shutdown, while gold prices are surging, nearing $3,900 an ounce [3][26] - The ADP report indicated an unexpected decline of 32,000 jobs last month, raising expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut [4][29] - Historically, government shutdowns have not resulted in major sell-offs in the stock market, but this shutdown may be different due to potential job furloughs turning into cuts [5][32] Group 3: Economic Effects - The Congressional Budget Office estimates that about 750,000 federal employees will be furloughed, costing $400 million per day in lost compensation [34] - Essential services will continue during the shutdown, including military and law enforcement, but some services may experience slowdowns [35][36] - The impact on federal benefits like Medicare and Social Security will be minimal, but SNAP benefits could be affected if the shutdown lasts more than 30 days [36][37] Group 4: Company-Specific Updates - Nike reported first-quarter earnings that exceeded estimates, but warned that progress may not be linear due to tariffs expected to cost $1.5 billion [38][39] - Berkshire Hathaway is in talks to acquire Occidental Petroleum's chemical business for around $10 billion, marking its largest deal since 2022 [39] - The US government plans to take a 5% equity stake in Lithium Americas to bolster domestic supply chains for critical minerals [41]