Emerging Markets Debt (EMD)

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Worldwide Exchange: ETF Flows Week of September 15
CNBC Televisionยท 2025-09-19 12:41
ETF Market Overview - The ETF market has seen net inflows of over $855 billion this year and is on pace for another $1 trillion year [1][2] - ETFs are attractive to investors due to their liquidity, cost efficiency, and transparency [2] Emerging Markets Debt (EMD) - EMD ETFs experienced flat flows for the year but have seen a reversal with approximately $20 billion in inflows in the last four and a half months, following over three years of sustained outflows [3] - The macro backdrop for emerging markets is considered benign, supporting potential investment [4] - A weaker USD and the Fed initiating a rate hiking cycle have historically been supportive of EMD [5] Active vs Passive EMD ETFs - Historically, around 70% of actively managed EMD funds have outperformed passive ones over the last 10 years [7] - Newberger Berman has an active ETF hard currency sovereign vehicle [7] EMD Market Dynamics - Approximately $150 billion, representing 15-16% of all assets in dedicated vehicles, had left the EMD asset class until April of this year, indicating substantial capacity for investors to re-enter the space [8] - Emerging markets are growing at stronger rates with better fundamental and fiscal dynamics, including lower public debt to GDP ratios compared to developed markets [9] - Mexico's public debt to GDP is expected to be around 55% in 2026 [9]