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Energy Market Assessment: Getting oil in the forms it is needed, where and when needed
Yahoo Finance· 2026-03-13 19:00
Core Viewpoint - The article presents a bullish outlook on oil and natural gas prices, driven by recent price increases and strategic inventory releases, indicating a market adjustment to supply disruptions and geopolitical tensions. Price Movements - Retail gasoline prices in the U.S. surged by 63.8 cents per gallon, from $2.995 at the end of January to $3.633 last week, while West Coast prices increased by 86.3 cents, from $3.827 to $4.69 [3][4]. - The spot price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil rose from a low of approximately $55 per barrel during the holiday season to $65 before the recent military operation [4]. Inventory and Supply Dynamics - Despite a 3.8 million barrel increase in U.S. crude oil inventory last week, the price of crude oil continued to rise, indicating strong demand or supply constraints [6]. - The current U.S. crude oil inventory stands at 443.1 million barrels, which is 24 million barrels higher than at the beginning of the year and 7.9 million barrels more than the same time last year [6]. Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) Impact - An agreement by the International Energy Agency (IEA) to release 400 million barrels from member countries' Strategic Petroleum Reserves contributed to a decrease in near-month futures prices from $94.77 to $87.25 per barrel [7]. - The U.S. Strategic Petroleum Inventory increased from 540 million barrels at the start of 2001 to 727 million barrels by 2010, with significant reductions due to supply disruptions from geopolitical events [7]. Import Trends - Over the past four weeks, crude oil imports from Iraq and Saudi Arabia averaged 0.818 million barrels per day [8]. - The flow rate of SPR supply used to offset disruptions from Russia's invasion of Ukraine began at 0.400 million barrels per day and reached a maximum of 1.200 million barrels per day after nine months [8].