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Enterprise Products' Q4 Earnings on Deck: Time to Buy the Stock?
ZACKS· 2026-01-28 18:46
Core Viewpoint - Enterprise Products Partners LP (EPD) is expected to report a decline in fourth-quarter earnings and revenues for 2025, with earnings estimated at 70 cents per share, reflecting a 5.4% decrease year-over-year, and revenues projected at $13.14 billion, indicating a 7.5% drop from the previous year [1][6]. Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter earnings is 70 cents per share, with a downward revision noted in the past week [1][2]. - The estimates for the current year and next year are $2.62 and $2.86 per share, respectively, with a year-over-year growth estimate of -2.60% for the current year and 8.98% for the next year [2]. Earnings Surprise History - EPD has a mixed earnings surprise history, beating estimates in two of the last four quarters and missing in two, with an average negative surprise of 1.86% [3]. Revenue and Margin Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for crude oil Pipelines & Services revenues is $4.96 billion, down from $5.03 billion a year ago, with gross operating margins expected to decline from $417 million to $384 million [7]. - For NGL Pipelines & Services, revenues are estimated at $1.43 billion, down from $1.55 billion, which is likely to impact overall performance [8]. Stock Performance and Valuation - EPD's stock has decreased by 1.6% over the past year, contrasting with a 10.2% decline in the industry composite, while competitors Kinder Morgan, Inc. and Enbridge Inc. have seen gains of 7.8% and 8%, respectively [9]. - EPD appears undervalued with a trailing enterprise value/EBITDA ratio of 10.73 compared to the industry average of 10.91, indicating potential for price increases [11]. Investment Thesis - EPD has low exposure to volume and commodity price risks due to long-term contracts for its midstream assets, ensuring stable fee-based revenues [13]. - The partnership has $5.1 billion in approved projects under construction, which will contribute to additional cash flows [13]. - EPD has a strong credit rating and has been actively returning capital to unitholders through a buyback program, having utilized nearly 60% of its $2 billion repurchase plan [14].