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60% Odds US Forces Enter Iran by Month-End
Bankless· 2026-04-03 14:21
This Polymarket market is pricing a long Iran conflict, not a quick resolution. While Trump says the war should be over in "two weeks, maybe three," the market is leaning the other way. Around 60% odds of US forces entering Iran by the end of April. Nearly 30% odds that this is still dragging on by year-end. These numbers point to a bigger story: escalation is becoming the base case. #Polymarket #IranWar #Markets #Trump #Politics ...
X @BSCN
BSCN· 2026-03-19 09:30
🚨LATEST: US CONSIDERS MORE TROOPS FOR MIDDLE EASTThe Trump administration is weighing deploying thousands more U.S. troops as tensions with Iran escalate, according to @Reuters.Officials say the move would expand military options as the conflict enters its third week. Plans could include securing oil tanker routes through the Strait of Hormuz.Air and naval forces would lead, but ground troops remain an option. Sources warn any escalation could significantly widen the conflict. ...
Iran's New Supreme Leader Says Strait of Hormuz Should Stay Closed
Bloomberg Television· 2026-03-12 14:18
We also don't really know if the new supreme leader, Ayatollah Khomeini, was injured in that attack or really if he's alive at all because he didn't voice that statement. There was no live picture of him. He hasn't been out in public.So we just have to take Iranian state TV's word. I don't know how much it matters that this came from him. Right.Yes, we do. And I do think it's telling that this was a statement that was not accompanied by a picture, to the best of our knowledge. He was at the compound where h ...
X @Nick Szabo
Nick Szabo· 2026-03-07 19:43
RT Patricia Marins (@pati_marins64)US and Israel decide to strike Iranian oil and water infrastructureThe coalition targeted approximately 30 large-scale oil storage facilities in Iran today, representing an escalation unlike any seen in the 12 days of the war.Also today, Iran accused the U.S. of attacking a desalination plant on Qeshm Island.Attacks of this magnitude against oil and potable water infrastructure constitute an unprecedented escalation, even though smaller-scale strikes on refineries have occ ...