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ModivCare (MODV) - 2024 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-03-07 02:21
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q4 2024, total revenue was $702.8 million, flat compared to Q4 2023, while full year revenue reached $2.79 billion, a slight increase of just over 1% [61][63] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 was $40.4 million, totaling $161.1 million for the full year, reflecting a decrease of approximately 20% [11][62] - Consolidated net loss for Q4 was $23.5 million, while adjusted net income was $2.7 million, or $0.19 per share [63] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The NEMT segment, representing 70% of total revenue, generated $495 million in revenue, remaining flat year over year [64] - Personal Care Services (PCS) revenue increased by 3% year over year to $186.6 million, driven by a 3.5% growth in revenue per hour [68] - Remote Patient Monitoring (RPM) revenue was $19.2 million, representing 3% of total revenue but 16% of adjusted EBITDA [69] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Average monthly members in the NEMT segment decreased by approximately 11% year over year, while trip volume increased by 8.5% compared to a year ago [64] - The total addressable market for NEMT is estimated to exceed $6 billion, with an annual MCO revenue base of $1 billion entering 2025 [31] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to strengthen technology-enabled platforms across NEMT, personal care, and monitoring while executing strategic financial initiatives and divesting platforms [12][22] - A focus on monetizing select segments and unlocking value is emphasized, with a strategic alternatives committee established to oversee the divestiture process [22][23] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the unprecedented challenges faced in 2024, including Medicaid redetermination and increased healthcare utilization, but expressed confidence in navigating these disruptions [8][9] - The company is optimistic about future growth opportunities, particularly in the MCO segment, with a win rate exceeding 90% over the past two years [31] Other Important Information - The company secured an incremental $75 million term loan and $30 million in new second lien notes to enhance financial flexibility [14][60] - New board appointments were made to enhance expertise in operational efficiency and technology innovation [15][20] Q&A Session Summary Question: How does ModivCare Inc.'s exposure to Medicaid affect fee-for-service contracts? - Management expects that any Medicaid cuts will primarily affect healthier members, and they are currently negotiating to reset payments based on member mix [78][80] Question: Can you provide an update on the sale process? - Management indicated that discussions are ongoing and they are encouraged by the interest in their platforms, but specific timing for sales was not disclosed [83][84] Question: What is the current membership status in NEMT and monitoring? - Membership in NEMT has decreased significantly, with expectations of recovery as new contracts are pursued [89][90] Question: What are the expectations for cash flow in 2025? - Management confirmed that they expect a return to positive free cash flow in the latter half of 2025, with improvements in contract structures aiding liquidity [112][117] Question: How will the transition from shared risk to fee-for-service contracts impact revenue? - Approximately 25% of revenue is expected to shift to fee-for-service contracts, which will help stabilize cash flow and reduce working capital shifts [124][126]