Fiscal Year Outlook

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SMG Reaffirms Fiscal 2025 Outlook on Strong Peak Season Demand
ZACKSยท 2025-06-06 13:31
Core Insights - The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG) has reaffirmed its fiscal 2025 guidance, indicating strong performance during the peak lawn and garden season with consistent year-over-year growth in consumer point-of-sale (POS) units and dollars [1][8] Financial Performance - The company expects a decline in interest expense by approximately $30 million compared to the previous year, an increase from the earlier forecast of $15-$20 million [2] - SMG has revised its projected increase in share count to about 1 million, down from the prior estimate of 2 million [2] - Adjusted earnings per share are anticipated to be at least $3.50, representing a 53% increase over the previous year [2] - The company projects adjusted EBITDA to range between $570 million and $590 million, with an expected adjusted gross margin of around 30% [4][8] - SMG aims to generate approximately $250 million in free cash flow for the fiscal year [4][8] Market Position - During the peak season, SMG has achieved favorable results, reflecting a resilient consumer base and effective marketing efforts, reinforcing confidence in meeting full-year outlooks [3] - The company is on track to improve its debt profile, aiming for a leverage goal of below 3.5 by the end of fiscal 2027 [3] Stock Performance - SMG's shares have decreased by 4.7% over the past year, contrasting with a 0.8% growth in its industry [5]