GF Value

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Does GF Value Actually Work? (Backtesting the Results)
GuruFocus· 2025-06-12 18:24
Valuation Metrics - GF Value is used for valuation, including price to GF Value, which is essential for back testing [1] - Back testing can be performed by ranking based on price to GF Value [1] Back Testing Analysis - Back testing functionality is supported, allowing users to add parameters [2][3] - Limiting the back testing to SP500 companies yields more sensible results [2] - A random GF Value back testing over the last three years (from 2022 to current) shows potential market outperformance [2]
April Members Engagement Meeting: Insider Trends, GF Score, GF Value and DCF
GuruFocus· 2025-04-03 07:10
Investment Opportunities & Valuation - GuruFocus suggests utilizing its features to identify promising investment opportunities [1] - The platform allows users to monitor insider buy-to-sell ratio trends, potentially signaling market bottoms [1] - GuruFocus provides valuation tools, including GF Score, GF Value, DCF (Discounted Cash Flow), and reverse DCF analysis [1] - Valuation correlations can be analyzed using GuruFocus's tools [1] GuruFocus Features & Tools - GF Value is a key metric offered by GuruFocus for stock valuation [1] - DCF valuation methods are available for assessing investment opportunities [1] - Backtesting capabilities are present within the GuruFocus platform [1] - Portfolio optimization tools are offered to GuruFocus members [1]
March 2025 Member Engagement Meeting: Insider Trends and Valuation Correlation
GuruFocus· 2025-03-06 08:01
Market Overview & Valuation - The market has been volatile due to trade talks, but the S&P 500 is still overvalued by approximately 16% based on GuruFocus's valuation [1] - A potential market decline of around 20% from its peak would bring the market to GuruFocus's estimated fair value [1] - Insider buying activity, as indicated by the buy-sell ratio, remains below average, suggesting insiders are not yet enthusiastic about the market [1] GuruFocus Features & Tools - GuruFocus offers a dark mode for improved chart visibility, accessible via a Moon and Sun icon [1] - GuruFocus has added a demo center to guide users on how to use features like the All-in-One Screener, including creating custom filters and backtesting [2] - GuruFocus is developing a portfolio report feature that allows users to create customized reports with drag-and-drop functionality, suitable for professional use [2] Stock Analysis & GF Score - Lulu Lemon has a high GF Score of 99 out of 100, based on financial strength, growth, profitability, valuation, and momentum, with growth and profitability having the highest weighting [3] - TRIMD (Teekay Tankers Ltd) is considered a cyclical commodity business, sensitive to geopolitical factors and economic conditions, making it less appealing for predictable investment [3] - GuruFocus identifies potential value traps using factors like financial strength, debt levels, and the Piotroski F-Score, which measures the trend of the business [4] Valuation Methods & Strategies - GuruFocus's GF Value is calculated by studying the correlations of stock prices with parameters like revenue, earnings, cash flows, and book values, and using these correlations to predict future stock prices [2] - GuruFocus considers its GF Value to be more accurate than traditional ratios like P/E or P/S, as it combines multiple factors and is more universally applicable [2] - GuruFocus offers model portfolios, such as the GF Score strategy, which rebalances annually and has historically outperformed the market, although performance varies year to year [6] Website Updates & User Experience - GuruFocus is addressing a bug related to saving the date when adding stocks, where the database saves the time stamp in seconds [3] - Users can filter articles related to specific stocks under the "News" tab on the stock's page, including GuruFocus articles and third-party sources [3] - GuruFocus offers chat support, initially AI-driven but with human backup, available to answer user questions and provide assistance [3][6]
February Member Engagement Meeting: Brokerage Account Portfolio Links
GuruFocus· 2025-02-06 08:12
Market Valuation and Trends - The market valuation is near its highest point, only 2-3% down from its peak [1] - The Buffet Indicator, which is the ratio of total market cap over GDP, is at its highest point ever, indicating significant overvaluation [1] - Shiller PE ratio is also at its highest level, suggesting the market is expensive and future returns may be low [1] GuruFocus Platform Updates - GuruFocus has released new features for screeners, including technical-related filters like 20-day EMA (Exponential Moving Average) and SMA (Simple Moving Average) [2] - Users can create custom filters for fundamental data and filter stocks based on historical data, such as revenue growth from 2022 year-over-year [2] - A new valuation tab has been added for every stock, showing valuation and correlation analysis between price and various parameters like revenue, book value, earnings, and cash flow [4] - GuruFocus has released brokerage account integration for premium members, allowing users to upload their brokerage account and analyze their portfolios using GuruFocus tools [5] Stock Analysis and Commentary - Alphabet's stock is down 8% due to not very good earnings [1] - Apple's revenue in China is declining, indicating a loss of competitive edge [3][4] - Dollar General's stock has declined almost 60% since 2022 due to competition from cheap online retailers, and its operating margin has decreased from 10% to less than 6% [4] - PDD's P/S ratio is 89, with a P/E ratio of more than 500, indicating extremely high market expectations [5] - Mesa Air Group is not a good investment because the airline business has generally been losing money [7] - Novo Nordisk's stock has come down almost 41% from its peak, presenting an interesting opportunity [7]