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AEM vs. NEM: Which Gold Mining Stock Should You Invest in Now?
ZACKS· 2025-08-28 13:36
Core Insights - Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) and Newmont Corporation (NEM) are leading companies in the gold mining sector, with diversified operations and portfolios, making them relevant for investors amid firm gold prices driven by global economic uncertainties and trade tensions [1][2]. Gold Market Overview - Gold prices have increased approximately 29% this year, reaching a record high of $3,500 per ounce on April 22, 2025, before settling around $3,400 per ounce [2]. - Central banks globally are accumulating gold reserves, influenced by geopolitical tensions and expectations of interest rate cuts, which are expected to support gold prices [2]. Agnico Eagle's Position - Agnico Eagle is focused on growth projects, including the Odyssey project and others, which are expected to enhance production and cash flows [4]. - The Hope Bay Project has proven and probable mineral reserves of 3.4 million ounces, contributing significantly to future cash flow [5]. - The merger with Kirkland Lake Gold has positioned Agnico Eagle as a high-quality senior gold producer with a strong pipeline of development projects [6]. - AEM reported operating cash flow of $1,845 million in Q2, a 92% increase from $961 million year-over-year, and free cash flow of $1,305 million, more than double the previous year's figure [7][8]. - The company reduced long-term debt by $550 million to $595 million and ended the quarter with a net cash position of $963 million [9]. - AEM offers a dividend yield of 1.2% with a five-year annualized dividend growth rate of 6.9% and a payout ratio of 27%, indicating a sustainable dividend [10]. Newmont's Position - Newmont has strengthened its portfolio through the acquisition of Newcrest Mining and a $3 billion divestiture program, enhancing liquidity and operational efficiency [12][14]. - The company is pursuing growth projects like the Tanami Expansion 2 and Ahafo North expansion, which are expected to drive revenue and profit growth [13]. - Newmont's liquidity at the end of Q2 was $10.2 billion, with free cash flow reaching $1.7 billion, a significant increase year-over-year [17]. - The company returned approximately $2 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases and reduced debt by $1.4 billion [18]. - Newmont's long-term debt-to-capitalization ratio is around 18.8%, and it offers a dividend yield of 1.4% with a payout ratio of 20% [18]. Financial Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, AEM stock has increased by 78.4%, while NEM stock has risen by 94.5%, compared to the Zacks Mining – Gold industry's increase of 82.3% [21]. - AEM is trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 20.01, representing a 41.5% premium over the industry average, while NEM is at 13.74, below its five-year median [23][24]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AEM's 2025 sales and EPS indicates growth of 30.6% and 64.1%, respectively, while NEM's estimates imply growth of 10.7% and 52.3% [26][27]. Investment Considerations - Both companies are well-positioned to benefit from strong gold prices, but AEM's higher earnings growth projections and healthier dividend growth rate suggest it may offer better investment prospects [28][29]. - AEM's lower leverage indicates lesser financial risks, making it a more favorable option for investors seeking exposure to the gold sector [29].
NEM vs. AEM: Which Gold Mining Stock Should You Invest in Now?
ZACKS· 2025-05-07 11:10
Core Insights - Newmont Corporation (NEM) and Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) are key players in the gold mining industry, with both companies benefiting from rising gold prices due to global economic uncertainties and trade tensions [1][2] - Gold prices have increased approximately 30% this year, reaching a record high of $3,500 per ounce, influenced by aggressive trade policies and central bank gold accumulation [2] - A comparison of the fundamentals of NEM and AEM is essential for investors looking for opportunities in the precious metals sector [3] Newmont Corporation (NEM) - NEM is actively investing in growth projects, including the Tanami Expansion 2 in Australia and the Ahafo North expansion in Ghana, aimed at increasing production capacity and extending mine life [4] - The acquisition of Newcrest Mining Limited has enhanced NEM's portfolio, expected to generate $500 million in annual run-rate synergies [5] - NEM's attributable gold production rose approximately 9% year over year in Q4, with significant divestitures generating total after-tax cash proceeds of $4.3 billion [6] - NEM reported liquidity of $8.8 billion and operating cash flow of around $2 billion in Q1, with a record free cash flow of $1.2 billion [7] - The company returned $1 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, maintaining a dividend yield of 1.9% and a payout ratio of 24% [8] Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) - AEM is focused on advancing key projects such as the Odyssey project and the Hope Bay Project, which is expected to significantly contribute to cash flow [9][10] - AEM's operating cash flow increased by approximately 33% year over year to $1,044 million in Q1, with free cash flow rising around 50% to $594 million [11] - AEM returned about $920 million to shareholders last year and $251 million in Q1, offering a dividend yield of 1.4% and a five-year annualized dividend growth rate of 10.3% [12] Price Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, NEM stock has increased by 46.7%, while AEM stock has risen by 52.3%, outperforming the Zacks Mining – Gold industry's increase of 44.8% [13] - NEM is trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 13.04, which is an 11.4% discount compared to the industry average of 14.72 [14] - AEM is trading at a forward earnings multiple of 19.9, indicating a premium over NEM [17] Growth Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for NEM's 2025 sales and EPS implies a year-over-year rise of 0.1% and 14.9%, respectively [18] - AEM's 2025 sales and EPS estimates suggest year-over-year growth of 20.6% and 44.4%, respectively, indicating stronger growth potential [19] Investment Considerations - Both NEM and AEM are well-positioned to benefit from rising gold prices, but AEM's higher earnings growth projections and lower leverage suggest it may be a more favorable investment option [22] - AEM currently holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), while NEM has a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) [23]