Group 1 - The US raid on Venezuela is expected to significantly impact the oil market, with crude oil prices being a key focus due to their influence on consumer prices [1] - President Trump announced plans to tap into Venezuelan oil reserves, which could lead to increased production and further depress already low crude oil prices [2][4] - US companies starting drilling in Venezuela face a dilemma: contributing more oil to the existing surplus may lower prices and reduce profits [2][4] Group 2 - The decisions made by US companies in Venezuela will shape future oil prices and consumer costs [3][4] - The US assault on Venezuela is viewed as a strategic maneuver in the global oil market, potentially leading to a significant increase in global oil supply [3] - The implications of these decisions could have far-reaching effects on the global oil market, affecting both oil companies and consumers [4]

Supply Forecast - The International Energy Agency has increased its global oil supply forecasts for this year and next [1]

IEA月报：6月全球石油供应环比增加95万桶/日，主要由沙特阿拉伯带动。 ...

IEA月报：2025年全球石油供应将增加180万桶/日（此前预测为增加160万桶/日）。 ...

IEA月报：4月份全球石油供应同比增加130万桶/日，主要由非欧佩克+国家推动。 ...