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Should You Buy, Hold or Sell Rocket Lab Stock Ahead of Q3 Earnings?
ZACKSยท 2025-11-06 18:16
Core Insights - Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) is expected to report third-quarter 2025 results on November 10, 2025, with revenue estimates of $149.8 million, reflecting a 42.9% increase year-over-year, and a projected loss of five cents per share, an improvement from the previous year's loss of ten cents [1]. Revenue and Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for RKLB's earnings per share (EPS) for the current quarter is -0.05, with a total of three estimates [2]. - Year-over-year growth estimates for EPS indicate a 50% improvement for the current quarter and a 36.84% improvement for the current year [2]. - RKLB's earnings have beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate once in the last four quarters, with an average negative surprise of 16.22% [2][3]. Revenue Growth Drivers - Revenue growth is anticipated due to an increase in launch missions and strong bookings from previous quarters, particularly in the Launch Services business segment [5][6]. - The Space Systems business segment is also expected to contribute positively to revenue growth through solid performance in spacecraft and satellite manufacturing [7][8]. Cost Considerations - Despite strong revenue projections, increased operating costs related to the Neutron program, workforce expansion, and rising R&D and IT-related expenses may negatively impact operating margins and overall earnings [9]. Stock Performance and Valuation - RKLB's stock has increased by 332.3% over the past year, significantly outperforming the Zacks aerospace-defense equipment industry's growth of 26.3% [10]. - The forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) ratio for RKLB is 33.39X, which is higher than the industry average of 9.47X, indicating a premium valuation [11][13]. Industry Outlook - The global space economy is projected to reach $1.8 trillion by 2035, driven by the adoption of satellite-based and rocket-enabled technologies, which supports the long-term growth potential for companies like RKLB [14]. - However, RKLB faces challenges from elevated operating expenses due to ongoing investments in product development and technology enhancements, which may offset revenue growth benefits [15]. Investment Considerations - Given RKLB's favorable Zacks Rank and solid revenue growth expectations, the company is less likely to disappoint in its upcoming earnings report [16].