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Prediction: This Metric Is a Warning Sign Not to Buy Super Micro Computer Stock
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-09 17:40
Core Viewpoint - Super Micro Computer reported strong revenue growth in its fiscal 2026 second quarter, leading to an initial rise in stock price, but the stock has experienced volatility throughout the week following the report [1]. Group 1: Company Overview - Supermicro designs and assembles servers and rack solutions for data centers, serving as a key partner to Nvidia by customizing systems around its GPUs [2]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In the fiscal second quarter, Supermicro's revenue more than doubled year over year to $12.7 billion, exceeding the analyst consensus estimate of $10.4 billion [5]. - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) increased by 17% to $0.69, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.49 [5]. Group 3: Gross Margin Analysis - Supermicro has faced significant gross margin pressure, with margins declining from 17% in June 2024 to a low of 6.3% in the most recent quarter [3]. - Management believes that gross margins have reached their lowest point and expects improvement, partly due to the adoption of higher-margin Data Center Building Block Solutions (DCBBS) [4]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Management projected fiscal third-quarter revenue of at least $12.3 billion and raised the full-year revenue outlook to at least $40 billion, up from a previous forecast of $36 billion [6]. - The company guided for fiscal Q3 adjusted EPS of at least $0.60 and a sequential rise in adjusted gross margin by 30 basis points [6]. Group 5: Market Context - Despite strong revenue growth, Supermicro's gross margins have been shrinking due to its intermediary position between Nvidia and cost-conscious customers, in a highly commoditized data center server market [7].