Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Warrior achieved a record high quarterly sales volume of 2.9 million short tons in Q4 2025, a 53% increase compared to 1.9 million tons in Q4 2024 [14] - Total sales volume for 2025 was 9.6 million short tons, a 21% increase year-over-year, while production volume reached 10.2 million short tons, a 24% increase from 2024 [6][7] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2025 was $93 million, a 31% increase from Q3 2025, and a 75% increase from $53 million in Q4 2024 [21][23] - Net income for Q4 2025 was $23 million, or $0.44 per diluted share, compared to $1 million or $0.02 per diluted share in Q4 2024 [23] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Blue Creek mine began longwall operations in Q4 2025, contributing 1.3 million tons of production, exceeding expectations [15][16] - Mine No. 4 set a new record high output for both sales and production volume, continuing its strong performance [7] - Cash costs per ton decreased to approximately $94 in Q4 2025 from $120 in the same quarter last year, reflecting lower overall spending and the contribution of low-cost Blue Creek tons [27] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The PLV FOB Australia index averaged $182 per short ton in Q4 2025, marking a 9% increase from Q3 2025 [9] - Chinese steel export volumes for 2025 reached a record high of 119 million metric tons, a 7.2% increase year-over-year, while crude steel production decreased by 4.4% [8] - The average East Coast HVA index price decreased by $6 per ton, or 4%, in Q4 2025 compared to Q3 2025 [10][11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Warrior plans to ramp production in line with contractual volumes to support pricing discipline while maximizing long-term value [17] - The company aims to reduce coal inventory levels to just below 1 million tons by the end of 2026 [35] - Warrior's strategy includes significant investments in Blue Creek, which is expected to enhance the company's cost structure and drive margin expansion [19][38] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expects steelmaking coal markets to remain consistent with 2025 levels, entering 2026 from a position of strength with higher contracted volumes and record production capacity [32] - The company anticipates total sales and production volumes to be significantly higher in 2026 due to the early start of Blue Creek longwall operations [32] - Management expressed cautious optimism regarding pricing, noting that recent disruptions in global mining production may be temporary [36] Other Important Information - Warrior's total available liquidity at the end of Q4 2025 was $484 million, consisting of cash and cash equivalents of $300 million, short-term investments of $43 million, and $141 million available under the ABL Facility [31] - The company plans to spend the remaining construction CapEx of $50-$75 million on the Blue Creek project in Q1 2026 [33] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the PLV price assumption for 2026? - The PLV assumption is a range of $185-$215 per short ton [41][43] Question: How should working capital be expected to change in 2026? - Working capital is expected to build in the first half of the year due to increased accounts receivable and inventory [44][65] Question: What are the payments for federal leases? - The payments for federal leases are about $9 million per year for four years [46][48] Question: How will cash flow be managed in 2026? - The company expects to be free cash flow positive in the second half of 2026, depending on pricing [56][58] Question: What is the outlook for Mine No. 4's production? - Mine No. 4 is expected to continue running at levels similar to the previous year, maintaining strong performance [88]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Warrior Met Coal reported a record high total sales volume of 9.6 million short tons for 2025, a 21% increase from the previous year, and a production volume of 10.2 million short tons, a 24% increase from 2024 [6][15] - The fourth quarter Adjusted EBITDA was $93 million, a 31% increase from the third quarter of 2025, and net income was $23 million, or $0.44 per diluted share, compared to $1 million, or $0.02 per diluted share in the same quarter of 2024 [22][24] - Total revenues for the fourth quarter were $384 million, up from $297 million in the same quarter of the previous year, driven by a 53% increase in sales volumes [24][25] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The ramp-up of the Blue Creek longwall operations began production eight months ahead of schedule, contributing significantly to the company's production profile and cost structure [4][16] - Blue Creek produced 1.3 million tons during the fourth quarter, exceeding expectations, and the company achieved a record high quarterly sales volume of 2.9 million short tons [13][14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The PLV FOB Australia index averaged $182 per short ton in the fourth quarter, marking a 9% increase from the third quarter of 2025 [9] - Chinese steel export volumes reached a record high of 119 million metric tons in 2025, a 7.2% increase year-over-year, while crude steel production decreased by 4.4% [8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to reduce coal inventory levels to just below 1 million tons and expects to ramp production in line with increases in contractual volumes [35][32] - Warrior aims to maintain a disciplined capital allocation strategy while focusing on shareholder returns, including potential dividends and stock buybacks [58][88] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed cautious optimism regarding the steelmaking coal market, anticipating that prices may remain supported in the short term but could retreat if global supply and demand fundamentals do not improve [36][37] - The company expects sales volumes in 2026 to be more than 30% higher than in 2025, driven by the contribution of the Blue Creek mine [35][38] Other Important Information - The total capital expenditures for the Blue Creek project reached $957 million, fully funded by cash flows from operations, with an estimated total project cost of $995 million to $1.075 billion [16][17] - The company recorded a negative free cash flow of $28 million in the fourth quarter due to increased capital expenditures and working capital needs [29] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the PLV price assumption for 2026? - The PLV price assumption is a range of $185-$215 per short ton [41][43] Question: How should working capital be expected to build in 2026? - Working capital is expected to increase in the first half of the year due to higher accounts receivable and inventory, potentially upwards of $50 million [65] Question: What are the payments for federal leases? - The payments for federal leases total about $9 million per year over four years [46] Question: How does the company view shareholder returns? - The company plans to return cash to shareholders through higher fixed quarterly dividends and possibly special cash dividends and stock buybacks [58][88]