Core Points - The Trump administration's $100,000 fee for new H-1B workers from outside the US is expected to significantly impact the IT outsourcing and staffing industries, which have been targets for both political parties [1] - Multinational staffing firms, such as Tata Consultancy Services, Infosys, and Cognizant, will be disproportionately affected, with nearly 90% of new H-1B hires at these companies approved at US consulates [2] - The fee could lead to a steep decline in visa demand and an increase in the placement of workers overseas, as companies adjust their hiring strategies in response [4][10] Industry Impact - The fee will impose substantial costs on major IT firms, with Infosys facing over $1 billion in visa charges for more than 10,400 workers, Tata for 6,500 workers, and Cognizant for over 5,600 workers [3] - The IT consulting industry has already reduced new H-1B applications since 2024, and the new fee is likely to accelerate the trend of offshoring jobs [10] - Companies are expected to increase investments in countries like India, which is a primary source of H-1B workers, to access talent more cost-effectively [10] Hiring Strategies - Many employers are proactively adjusting their hiring plans in anticipation of the fee, with some planning to opt out of registering workers who would require visa processing at consulates [14] - The upcoming visa lottery in April will serve as an early indicator of how the fee and proposed lottery changes will affect the skill and wage levels of applicants [13] - The combination of the $100,000 fee and potential lottery reforms could reduce entries in the next lottery by 30% to 50%, reshaping market behavior regarding H-1B applications [15]

Core Insights - The Trump administration's $100,000 fee for new H-1B workers could significantly impact the IT outsourcing and staffing industries, which have been targets for both political parties [1][2] - The fee represents the most substantial restriction on the employment of skilled foreign workers imposed by the Trump administration to date [1] Impact on Multinational Staffing Firms - The fee is expected to disproportionately affect multinational staffing firms that facilitate the hiring of H-1B workers, including Tata Consultancy Services, Infosys, and Cognizant Technology Solutions [2] - Nearly 90% of new H-1B hires at these firms from May 2020 to May 2024 were approved at US consulates, indicating a significant financial burden if the fee were applied [2] Financial Implications for Specific Companies - Infosys would face over $1 billion in visa charges, as more than 93% of its new H-1B hires (over 10,400 workers) would incur the $100,000 fee [3] - Tata Consultancy Services would be liable for the fee for 6,500 workers, representing 82% of newly approved H-1B workers [3] - Cognizant Technology Solutions would encounter the fee for more than 5,600 employees, or 89% of its new H-1B hires [3] Industry Response and Future Outlook - Legal challenges may temporarily block the fee, but industry experts anticipate a significant decline in visa demand and an increase in overseas placements [4] - Some firms, like Cognizant, report that the fee will have limited short-term impact on their operations due to a reduced reliance on visas for staffing [5] - Large tech and IT firms have historically dominated the H-1B program, claiming most of the 85,000 visa slots available annually [5]

Core Insights - The Trump administration's $100,000 fee for new H-1B workers from outside the US is expected to significantly impact the IT outsourcing and staffing industries, which have been targets for both political parties [1][2] - The fee is the most substantial restriction imposed on the employment of skilled foreign workers to date [1] Impact on Multinational Staffing Firms - Multinational staffing firms, such as Tata Consultancy Services, Infosys, and Cognizant, will be disproportionately affected, with nearly 90% of new H-1B hires at these companies approved at US consulates [2] - The fee could cost these firms hundreds of millions of dollars, with Infosys alone facing over a billion dollars in visa charges for more than 10,400 workers [3] Changes in Visa Demand and Offshoring Trends - Industry experts anticipate a steep decline in visa demand and an increase in the placement of workers overseas, as companies adjust their hiring strategies in response to the fee [4][10] - The IT consulting industry has already reduced new H-1B applications since 2024, and the fee is expected to accelerate the trend of offshoring jobs, particularly to India [10] Legislative and Legal Challenges - States and business groups, including the US Chamber of Commerce, are challenging the Trump fee, with a hearing scheduled to address its legality [9] - Many employers are proactively adjusting their hiring plans rather than waiting for the outcome of litigation [9] Changes in Hiring Strategies - Some of the largest H-1B employers may opt out of registering workers who require visa processing at consulates, indicating a potential industry-wide shift in hiring practices [14] - The combination of the new fee and proposed lottery changes could reduce entries in the next lottery by 30% to 50%, reshaping market behavior regarding H-1B applications [15]