ab 17 June 2025 Global Research China Equity Strategy A-share outlook H225: Five types of fund flows, five macro-scenario allocations Earnings may recover sequentially; trade/policy a swing factor for valuation Assuming US/China tariffs remain at their current levels, we expect CSI 300 A-share EPS to grow 6% YoY in 2025. Given the low base, we expect A-share earnings to rebound modestly each quarter this year, but deflationary pressure may constrain upward revisions to overall earnings estimates. Amid uncer ...

Group 1: Investment Themes - Warren Buffett's investment decisions are closely monitored due to the strong performance of Berkshire Hathaway [1] - High-yield stocks that align with Buffett's investment themes include midstream energy, utilities, and banks [1] Group 2: Midstream Energy Sector - Berkshire Hathaway has a significant presence in the midstream energy sector, which offers more consistent revenue and earnings compared to oil production [2] - Enbridge (ENB) is highlighted as a midstream investment opportunity, offering a 5.7% dividend yield supported by a $15 billion capital spending plan through 2029 [3][4] Group 3: Utility Sector - Utilities are characterized by regulated growth and monopolistic positions, making them resilient during economic downturns [5] - Black Hills (BKH) is presented as a utility option with a 4.4% yield and a history of 55 annual dividend increases, benefiting from a growing customer base [6] Group 4: Banking Sector - Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) is suggested as a potential investment, currently yielding approximately 4.8%, despite facing challenges in its U.S. division due to regulatory issues [7][8] - The bank's growth is temporarily limited by an asset cap related to past money laundering issues, but these problems are being addressed [9] Group 5: Investment Strategy - Investors are encouraged to learn from Buffett's strategies rather than replicate them exactly, focusing on high-yield opportunities in midstream and utility sectors, as well as considering TD Bank as a turnaround investment [10]