Core Insights - A combination of macroeconomic challenges is expected to lead to softer home improvement sales for the remainder of 2025, with the growth projection for the overall home improvement market reduced from 3.4% to 2.5% [1] Market Predictions - The consumer market sales prediction has been lowered to a 1.3% increase, down from 2.6% predicted in June 2025, while professional market sales are expected to increase by 4.6%, down from 4.9% [2] Economic Challenges - Key economic challenges include consumer price inflation expected to rise to the 3% range in late 2025, a 5.3% drop in housing starts in Q2 2025, and a 2.7% drop in home sales in June 2025, with mortgage rates hovering around 6.25% [3] Market Share of Major Retailers - Major home improvement retail chains dominate the industry, with Home Depot holding approximately 29% of the market, Lowe's capturing 17%, and Amazon attracting 11.9% according to Numerator's Home Improvement Tracker [4][8] Impact on Local Retailers - The dominance of major retailers has led to the permanent closure of many small, local hardware stores [5] Iconic Store Closures - Several iconic hardware stores have permanently closed, including Carnation Ace Hardware, Ritter's True Value Hardware, and Kreuger's True Value Hardware, with the latter planning to shut down after a liquidation sale due to lower demand [6][7] Additional Store Closures - Jerry's Hardware & Rental, part of the Do It Best retail cooperative, announced the closure of two stores in Minnesota by the end of 2025 [9]