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Stride vs. Coursera: Which Online Education Stock is the Better Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-12-17 16:11
Core Insights - The online education and E-learning market is experiencing significant growth driven by increased adoption in K-12, higher education, workforce training, and corporate learning, with companies like Stride, Inc. and Coursera, Inc. benefiting from this trend [1][2] Group 1: Stride, Inc. (LRN) - Stride focuses on the U.S. market, offering K-12 virtual schooling and career learning programs, aligning with the shift towards hybrid education models [3][4] - In Q1 of fiscal 2026, Stride's Career Learning segment revenues grew 16.3% year-over-year to $257.8 million, with enrollments increasing by 20%, outpacing the General Education segment's growth of 10.2% [5] - Stride has launched a free one-on-one tutoring program for second and third graders, indicating strong community support and engagement [6] - However, Stride faced technical issues with new platforms, resulting in 10,000-15,000 fewer enrollments than expected, which may impact near-term prospects [7] Group 2: Coursera, Inc. (COUR) - Coursera operates a global business model supported by subscriptions and AI integration, with its Consumer segment revenues growing 9% year-over-year to $370.7 million in the first nine months of 2025 [8][9] - The company has introduced new offerings like Skills Tracks and AI-powered Course Builder, enhancing its value proposition and learner outcomes [11] - Coursera's scalable subscription model and strong cash flow generation position it well for long-term growth, despite facing macro uncertainties in corporate spending [12][13] - The company has maintained its earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026, reflecting year-over-year growth of 14.7% and 16.1%, respectively [20] Group 3: Stock Performance & Valuation - In the past six months, Coursera's share price performance has outperformed Stride's, although both stocks show a declining trend [14] - Stride is trading at a discount compared to Coursera, which has a premium valuation despite slowing growth momentum [15][17] - Both stocks currently hold a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), but Coursera is viewed as a more compelling investment opportunity compared to Stride [23]
Stride Drops 57% Post Q1 Earnings: Should You Buy the Dip or Wait?
ZACKS· 2025-11-14 12:36
Core Viewpoint - Stride, Inc. (LRN) experienced a significant stock decline of 57% following the release of its first-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings, despite reporting earnings and revenues that exceeded consensus estimates [2][3][7]. Financial Performance - In the first quarter of fiscal 2026, Stride's earnings and revenues surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 23.6% and 1%, respectively, with year-over-year growth of 39.4% in earnings and 12.7% in revenues, driven by increased enrollments and revenue per enrollment [3][7]. - The Career Learning segment showed stronger growth than the General Education segment during this quarter, with Career Learning revenues increasing by 16.3% year over year [19]. Challenges and Outlook - Stride's fiscal 2026 outlook is muted due to ongoing issues with technology platform rollouts, which have led to approximately 10,000-15,000 fewer enrollments than expected [5][6][7]. - The company has indicated that enrollment trends may remain subdued throughout the fiscal year, raising concerns among investors [3][6][7]. - Earnings estimates for fiscal 2026 and 2027 have been revised downward by 4.8% and 8.3%, respectively, reflecting the impact of these challenges on analyst expectations [9]. Competitive Position - Stride competes in the career learning and K-12 services sectors against companies like Strategic Education, American Public Education, and Coursera, each with distinct strengths [11][12][14]. - Stride's integrated K-12 and career learning model provides a competitive edge, particularly in the adult skills market, although it faces substantial competition from larger players [14]. Growth Factors - Stride's business model includes K-12 online programs and expanding hybrid options, aligning with the shift towards virtual and career-oriented education [15]. - The company is focusing on affordability in its offerings, including free tutoring programs for younger students and personalized career-focused education [17][18][19]. - As of September 30, 2025, Stride maintained a stable liquidity position with cash and cash equivalents of $518.4 million, sufficient to meet long-term obligations [20]. Valuation - Stride's stock is currently trading at a discount compared to industry peers, with a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 7.57 [22]. - Despite the near-term challenges, the company retains strong structural demand tailwinds, particularly in its higher-margin Career Learning segment [23][25].