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Silver Extends Gains—Up Another 13% In 2026
Benzinga· 2026-01-06 18:01
Core Viewpoint - Silver has experienced a significant rally, gaining 13% in the first week of 2026, following a strong performance in 2025 where it broke through long-standing resistance levels [1]. Geopolitical Factors - The surge in silver prices is partly driven by increased geopolitical risks, particularly related to Venezuela, which has prompted investors to seek safe-haven assets [3]. - Speculation about potential tariffs on refined silver imports has intensified demand for domestic supplies, pushing prices closer to the psychological resistance level of $85 [4]. Strategic Importance - Silver's recent inclusion in the U.S. Critical Minerals List has elevated its strategic importance, subjecting it to regulatory scrutiny similar to that of steel and aluminum, which may lead to future tariffs [5]. Market Dynamics - The iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:SLV) has seen significant inflows, indicating a structural supply-demand imbalance rather than mere speculation, with a notable shortage of physical silver in China [6]. - The current price action suggests that silver is in a "blue sky" phase, with limited technical resistance above its 2025 closing record of $75 [6]. Mining Sector Impact - Silver mining companies, particularly those in the Global X Silver Miners ETF (NYSE:SIL), are experiencing substantial earnings growth due to fixed mining costs, which means that increases in spot prices directly enhance profitability [7]. - Wheaton Precious Metals (NYSE:WPM) is highlighted as well-positioned to benefit from upcoming production increases in 2026, providing a high-margin investment opportunity [7]. Industrial Demand - The ongoing industrial demand for silver, particularly in solar panels and electric vehicle components, is expected to continue outpacing mine production, suggesting that the recent price gains may signal the start of a long-term silver supercycle [8].