Inflation - Protected Contracts
Search documents
EPD or COP: Which Energy Stock Looks Better Positioned for 2026?
ZACKS· 2025-12-29 13:31
Core Insights - The comparison between Enterprise Products Partners LP (EPD) and ConocoPhillips (COP) is relevant due to the expected soft oil prices in the coming year, highlighting the need for investors to consider midstream stability versus upstream exposure [2][3] Group 1: Oil Price Outlook - The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects the average spot price of West Texas Intermediate crude to be $65.32 per barrel this year, down from $76.60 last year, and expects it to decline further to $51.42 per barrel by 2026 due to rising global oil inventories [5] - Advanced drilling techniques have significantly reduced operational costs in oil and gas, leading to low breakeven costs, which may allow exploration and production activities to remain profitable despite lower oil prices [6] Group 2: Company Fundamentals - EPD has outperformed COP over the past year, with a price increase of 9.4% compared to COP's decline of 2.4%, indicating a potential preference for EPD among investors [3] - Nearly 90% of EPD's contracts are inflation-protected, ensuring stable cash flows, and the company anticipates additional cash flows from key capital projects coming online next year [7][11][13] - COP's strong presence in the Lower 48, including the Permian, Eagle Ford, and Bakken regions, along with its acquisition of Marathon Oil, supports its low breakeven costs, allowing it to navigate a low oil price environment effectively [8][9] Group 3: Investment Considerations - Given the anticipated soft oil pricing environment, risk-averse investors may prefer EPD for its stable business model, while those willing to take on more risk might consider holding COP [14] - EPD is currently trading at a premium with a trailing 12-month EV/EBITDA of 10.45x compared to the industry average of 4.98x, indicating a higher valuation assigned by investors [15]