Economic Overview - Inflation is cooling at a faster rate than expected, with the consumer price index (CPI) rising only 0.1% sequentially in May, lower than the consensus estimate of 0.2% [3][9] - Year-over-year, CPI increased 2.4%, aligning with analysts' expectations, while core CPI rose 0.1% sequentially and 2.8% year-over-year, both lower than expected [3][4] Consumer Discretionary Stocks - Positive sentiment in the market suggests investing in consumer discretionary stocks such as Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL), Fox Corporation (FOX), Netflix, Inc. (NFLX), and Interface, Inc. (TILE) [2][8] - These stocks have seen positive earnings estimate revisions in the last 60 days, with each carrying a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) [2] Company-Specific Insights Carnival Corporation & plc - Carnival Corporation operates as the largest cruise operator globally, carrying nearly half of the global cruise guests [10] - The expected earnings growth rate for the current year is 31.7%, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings improving by 1.1% over the last 60 days [10] Fox Corporation - Fox Corporation produces and distributes news, sports, and entertainment content, with brands including FOX News and FOX Sports [11] - The expected earnings growth rate for the current year is 32.4%, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings improving by 1.1% over the past 60 days [11] Netflix, Inc. - Netflix is a pioneer in the streaming space, aggressively building its portfolio of original shows to maintain its leading position [12] - The expected earnings growth rate for the current year is 27.7%, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings improving by 3.3% over the past 60 days [12] Interface, Inc. - Interface is the world's largest manufacturer of modular carpets, committed to sustainability while enhancing shareholder value [13] - The expected earnings growth rate for the current year is 8.2%, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings improving by 2.6% over the past 60 days [13]

Retail Sector Overview - U.S. retail sales grew 0.1% in April after a revised 1.7% increase in March, with a year-over-year rise of 5.2% [3] - Online store sales increased by 2% in April, while food services and drinking places saw a 1.2% rise [3] - The retail sector has shown resilience despite challenges from tariffs and consumer sentiment [4] Impact of Tariffs and Trade Deals - A temporary pause on tariffs was announced after the U.S. and China reached a trade truce, which is expected to benefit the retail sector [1][6] - The retail sector's growth was hindered by fears of tariffs, but upcoming trade deals may provide a boost [5] Inflation and Economic Outlook - U.S. consumer inflation showed signs of cooling, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rising 0.2% in April and 2.3% year-over-year, the smallest gain since February 2021 [7] - Lower inflation rates may lead to potential rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which would positively impact the retail sector and the broader economy [8] Investment Opportunities in Retail Stocks - Recommended retail stocks include Maplebear Inc. (CART), PC Connection, Inc. (CNXN), Carvana Co. (CVNA), and Nordstrom, Inc. (JWN), all showing positive earnings estimate revisions [2] - Maplebear Inc. has an expected earnings growth rate of 7.6% for the current year, with a Zacks Rank of 2 [10] - PC Connection has an expected earnings growth rate of 6.8% for the current year, also holding a Zacks Rank of 2 [11] - Carvana Co. is projected to have over 100% earnings growth next year, with a Zacks Rank of 2 [13] - Nordstrom has an expected earnings growth rate of 1.8% for the current year, maintaining a Zacks Rank of 2 [15]