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Record Sales, Rising Tariffs: Can AVO Keep the Growth Flowing?
ZACKS· 2026-02-04 18:20
Group 1: Mission Produce, Inc. (AVO) Overview - Mission Produce is experiencing strong sales momentum with revenues increasing due to strong consumer demand, expanding international reach, and higher shipment volumes, despite challenges from rising tariffs, trade uncertainty, and cost inflation [1][2] - Revenue growth in fiscal 2025 shows a strong start with 29% growth in Q1 and 28% in Q2, followed by a normalization to 10% growth in both Q3 and Q4, indicating healthy demand and effective execution [1][7] - AVO's growth is primarily volume-driven, suggesting that demand remains robust even as pricing and market conditions become more challenging [7] Group 2: Strategic Positioning and Future Outlook - Sustaining growth will depend on AVO's ability to execute amid rising tariffs and cost pressures, leveraging its diversified sourcing network and vertically integrated model to manage supply shifts and protect margins [2][7] - The recent moderation in revenue growth may indicate normalization rather than a loss of momentum, allowing AVO to maintain its growth narrative despite external challenges [2] Group 3: Valuation and Market Performance - AVO shares have increased by 9.3% over the last six months, outperforming the industry growth of 3.4% [6] - AVO trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 21.20X, significantly higher than the industry average of 14.23X, indicating a premium valuation [8] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AVO's fiscal 2026 earnings suggests a decline of 10.13%, while fiscal 2027 indicates a growth of 4.23%, with EPS estimates remaining stable over the past week [9]