If Bitcoin has no retail bent, Bitcoin is worthless. And I think that's what people don't understand, which is why I say, "Fuck all these bills. Who cares. Just DK every single one of them. I hope Trump vetos every single one of them.We don't need it. We didn't need it in 2009. We didn't need it in 2018. We certainly don't need it in 2026." What's going on, guys? Today, we got a great conversation with Arthur Hayes. He's the chief investment officer at Maelstrom. And in this conversation, he's going to expl ...

past the hour prediction markets are We're making headlines again this week on the heels of the U .S. -Iran ceasefire agreement. The Associated Press is reporting a number of new polymarket accounts came online in the hours leading up to THE DEAL, ONE OF THE USERS REPORTEDLY SET TO RAKE IN $200 ,000.THOSE WAGERS ARE ADDING TO THE GROWING CONCERNS ABOUT INSIDER TRADING ON THE PLATFORM. MSNOW'S NICK MCCOOL EXPLAINS HOW EXACTLY PREDICTION MARKETS WORK AND WHY SOME POLICYMAKERS ARE CONCERNED. WHERE WILL Taylor ...

🚨 CRYPTO: SUSPECTED INSIDERS MADE $600K BETTING ON US-IRAN CEASEFIRE ON POLYMARKET@bubblemaps flagged a cluster of @Polymarket accounts that collectively made roughly $600,000 betting on the US-Iran ceasefire before it was announced. The accounts entered at odds as low as 3.9% and 6%, placing $25,000 to $75,000 bets hours before the deal. The wallets were newly created with no prior activity and changed their handles after the trades settled.Bubblemaps says this is the same cluster that previously profited ...

Company Overview - LeMaitre Vascular generates revenue primarily through direct sales and distributor relationships, focusing on proprietary vascular products designed for surgical intervention and vascular repair [1] - The company offers a portfolio of medical devices and implants for the treatment of peripheral vascular disease, including angioscopes, embolectomy and thrombectomy catheters, carotid shunts, vascular grafts, and closure systems [1] - LeMaitre Vascular operates at scale in the medical instruments and supplies industry, leveraging a focused product portfolio to address critical needs in vascular surgery [7] Financial Performance - For the fourth quarter of 2025, LeMaitre reported sales that rose 16% year over year to reach $64.5 million, with earnings rising by 39% to $0.68 per share [9] - The company announced a 25% dividend payout increase, with the payout having risen by 125% over the past five years, offering a 0.9% dividend yield at recent prices [9] - LeMaitre Vascular expects sales to rise by 12% this year, with management predicting adjusted earnings will soar 22% higher [10] Insider Activity - Senior Vice President of Operations, Trent G Kamke, reported the exercise and immediate sale of 2,625 shares of common stock for total proceeds of approximately $285,000 [6] - Kamke continues to hold 1,353 directly owned stock options, preserving potential upside alignment with company performance [2] - The transaction reflects an exercise of vested options followed by a direct sale of common shares, indicating a common mechanism for executives to monetize equity awards while maintaining compliance with company trading policies [5] Market Position - The company's strategy centers on innovation in device design and direct engagement with healthcare professionals, supporting consistent revenue growth and profitability [7] - LeMaitre's competitive position is reinforced by specialized offerings and a global distribution network [7] - With shares of LeMaitre up by more than 30% this year, the insider transaction appears to supplement income rather than indicate a lack of confidence in the investment [8]

Company Overview - Alpha Metallurgical Resources is a leading U.S. coal producer with a diversified portfolio of mining assets and preparation plants, focusing on supplying metallurgical coal to the steel industry and thermal coal to power generators [6] - The company operates multiple active mines and coal preparation facilities in Virginia and West Virginia, generating revenue primarily through the extraction and sale of coal products to both domestic and international markets [9] Financial Performance - As of March 11, 2026, the company's market capitalization is approximately $2.41 billion, with a revenue of $2.13 billion for the trailing twelve months (TTM) [4] - The company's stock price increased by 48% over the past year, reflecting strong performance [4] - In the fourth quarter, Alpha Metallurgical Resources reported a net loss of $17.3 million, but an Adjusted EBITDA of $28.5 million, indicating challenges in the metallurgical coal pricing environment [11] Recent Transactions - Kenneth S. Courtis, a director of Alpha Metallurgical Resources, purchased 10,000 shares on March 11, 2026, for approximately $1.87 million, bringing his total direct ownership to 866,537 shares valued at around $162.52 million [2][8] - This purchase aligns with Courtis's historical trading activity, as the size of the acquisition is close to the median size of his recent trades [8] Market Context - On the transaction date, shares of Alpha Metallurgical Resources closed at $187.55, up from an opening price of $179.75, indicating positive market movement [8] - The stock has seen a roughly 20% surge since the purchase, suggesting that the transaction was a well-timed investment [10] Strategic Insights - The company emphasizes operational efficiency and market responsiveness, leveraging its established presence in key Appalachian coal basins to serve both domestic and international demand [6] - Despite recent losses, management has indicated potential for improved pricing conditions heading into early 2026, supported by a strong balance sheet with approximately $524 million in liquidity and minimal long-term debt [11]

Company Overview - F&G Annuities & Life is a significant provider of fixed annuities and life insurance, focusing on both retail and institutional markets, with a competitive edge stemming from a long-standing presence in the insurance sector and alignment with Fidelity National Financial [5] - The company reported a total revenue of $5.4 billion and a net income of $265 million for the trailing twelve months (TTM) [4] - The dividend yield stands at 4%, while the stock has experienced a 46.43% decline over the past year [4] Recent Insider Transaction - Celina J. Wang Doka, a director at F&G Annuities & Life, purchased 4,760 shares at a weighted-average price of $20.98 per share, totaling approximately $100,000 [1][2] - This transaction marks the largest individual purchase by Doka to date, increasing her direct ownership by 17.43% from 27,310 to 32,070 shares [7] - The purchase price was below the closing price of $22.14 on March 16, 2026, indicating opportunistic buying during a period of stock decline [7][11] Market Context - The company has seen record assets under management reaching approximately $73 billion, a 12% year-over-year increase, despite a slight dip in net sales due to reinsurance movements [10] - Full-year gross sales totaled $14.6 billion, reflecting ongoing demand for retirement products [10] - The recent insider purchase may indicate confidence in the company's long-term prospects amidst market weakness, as shares have rebounded about 15% since the purchase [9]

Poly Market which runs on Polygon which is a layer 2 for Ethereum is making great strides. Unfortunately, it is a place for losers specifically 80% plus. And what I'm talking about is there's a new report that came out that states that prediction markets such as Poly Market and Khi topped 20 billion dollars in monthly volume as geopolitics now drive the majority of gambling or activity.Markets passed 20 billion dollars uh up from 1.2% 2 billion in early 2025 with over 800,000 unique wallets. Geopolitics now ...

Company Overview - Interface Inc. is a global supplier of modular flooring solutions, including carpet tiles, resilient flooring, rubber flooring, and luxury vinyl tile, along with installation systems and antimicrobial compounds [8][9] - The company generates revenue through direct sales to end-users, independent distributors, and online channels, complemented by project management and maintenance services [8] - Interface serves various commercial sectors, including offices, healthcare, education, hospitality, and retail, with a presence in North America, Europe, and Asia-Pacific [9] Financial Metrics - The company's market capitalization is $1.49 billion [5] - Revenue for the trailing twelve months (TTM) is reported at $1.39 billion [5] - Net income for the TTM stands at $116.10 million [5] Recent Transaction - On March 6, 2026, Vice President James Poppens sold 8,000 shares of common stock at an average price of $28.05 per share, totaling approximately $224,400 [1][2] - Post-transaction, Poppens holds 103,846 shares directly, valued at approximately $2.9 million based on the market close on the same day [2] - The sale represents 7.15% of Poppens's pre-transaction holdings of 111,846 shares [7] Market Performance - The stock was up around 38% year over year on the day of the sale, having peaked at an intraday high of $35.11 on February 9, 2026 [10] - Following the sale, the stock has cooled to a 26% gain [10] - The transaction size is smaller compared to Poppens's recent median sell size of 14,350 shares per trade, indicating a reduced share base due to prior sales [4][7]

Core Viewpoint - A series of unusual oil trades linked to the Iran war has raised concerns, particularly a surge in WTI trading volume coinciding with President Trump's announcement to halt planned attacks on Iranian infrastructure, leading to a significant drop in oil prices [1]. Investigation and Regulatory Response - Former SEC enforcement attorney Jacob Franle suggests that the unusual trading activity warrants investigation, indicating that it appears suspicious and could involve material non-public information [2][3]. - The investigation is likely to be in the interest of the administration and regulators to demonstrate market integrity, with the CFTC and SEC being the primary regulatory bodies involved [4][6]. - There was a notable $1.5 billion in notional value of S&P futures purchased shortly before the market movement, indicating a potential paper trail that could be investigated [5]. Historical Context and Precedents - The current situation is reminiscent of trading activities observed before the 9/11 attacks, where suspicious trading was linked to Middle Eastern interests, although that investigation did not lead to enforcement actions [7]. - The need for regulatory investigations is emphasized to restore confidence in market integrity, especially if no enforcement actions are ultimately taken [8]. Investigation Methodology - The initial steps in an investigation would involve pulling trade records and identifying connections to potential sources of information, focusing on following the trading patterns and financial flows [9][10]. - The SEC and CFTC have the authority to take emergency actions, such as asset freezes, if necessary during investigations [11]. - The involvement of the former SEC chairman, now a U.S. attorney, indicates a broader interest in investigating prediction markets and related activities [12]. Jurisdictional Considerations - The investigation may extend beyond U.S. borders, with foreign regulators also likely to be interested in the trading activities, highlighting the importance of jurisdiction in such cases [12][13].

Core Viewpoint - Bipartisan senators are continuing their efforts to ban sports prediction market contracts despite new self-imposed insider trading restrictions by Kalshi and Polymarket [2][4] Group 1: Legislative Actions - Senators Adam Schiff and John Curtis introduced the "Prediction Markets are Gambling Act," which aims to give states control over sports betting and prohibit Commodity Futures Trading Commission-registered entities from listing prediction contracts [3][4] - The senators believe that the self-regulatory measures taken by Kalshi and Polymarket are insufficient to prevent insider trading [6] Group 2: Concerns Over Insider Trading - Schiff expressed concerns about the potential for significant insider trading that current regulations cannot address, citing examples of bettors accurately predicting events in the Iran war [6][7] - The senators highlighted the risks associated with betting on sensitive events, such as high school athletes, which could lead to unethical outcomes [6] Group 3: Economic Implications - A report from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York indicated that while only about 3% of the population engages in sports betting post-legalization, it correlates with a 0.3 percentage point increase in overall credit delinquency [8] Group 4: Political Support - Despite the challenges in Congress, Schiff and Curtis are optimistic about the bipartisan support for their bill, noting that areas of agreement are increasing [9]