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Trump order seeks to ban Wall Street investments in single-family homes. Will this make housing more affordable?
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-13 16:52
Core Insights - President Trump's initiative aims to prohibit large investment companies from purchasing single-family homes to improve affordability for families [1][2] - Experts express skepticism about the effectiveness of this proposal in addressing the housing affordability crisis, emphasizing that the issue is fundamentally a supply problem [11][12] Group 1: Institutional Investors and Market Dynamics - Institutional investors have been linked to rising home prices and rents, but their overall impact on homeownership opportunities remains unclear [3] - Investor activity in the single-family home market increased from 29% in June 2025 to 30% in September 2025, marking a year-over-year rise of three percentage points [3][4] - Over 90% of investor-owned single-family homes are held by small investors with fewer than 11 properties, indicating that large institutional buyers are not the primary drivers of the market [5][6] Group 2: Local Regulations and Construction Challenges - Local building restrictions have significantly contributed to the housing shortage, with research indicating a decline in construction since the 1980s due to restrictive zoning and permitting laws [7][8] - Regulatory burdens account for approximately 25% of the cost of a single-family home, equating to about $100,000 of a $400,000 house [10] Group 3: Potential Impact of Trump's Proposal - Reducing institutional investment could exert downward pressure on home prices by decreasing demand, but institutional investors only represent about 1% to 2% of total home purchases, suggesting a modest overall impact [10] - Limiting institutional activity may lead to a reduction in the single-family rental market supply, potentially increasing rental prices [10] Group 4: Broader Housing Affordability Solutions - Experts agree that addressing the housing shortage requires multiple solutions beyond just restricting institutional investors, as the affordability crisis is deeply rooted in supply issues [11][12] - The combination of regulatory burdens, land use policies, and economic factors creates a "perfect storm" that drives housing prices higher [12]