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PSEG(PEG) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-03 17:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - PSEG reported net income of $1.24 per share in Q3 2025, down from $1.40 per share in Q3 2024, while non-GAAP operating earnings increased to $1.13 per share from $0.90 per share year-over-year [11][12] - The company narrowed its 2025 non-GAAP operating earnings guidance to the upper half of the range at $4 to $4.6 per share, up from prior guidance of $3.94 to $4.06 per share [3][18] - PSEG's balance sheet supports a five-year capital investment program of $22.5 billion to $26 billion without the need to issue new equity or sell assets [9][18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - PSEG's utility segment reported net income and non-GAAP operating earnings of $515 million for Q3 2025, driven by new electric and gas base distribution rates implemented in October 2024 [11][12] - PSEG Power and Other reported net income of $107 million in Q3 2025, down from $141 million in Q3 2024, with non-GAAP operating earnings of $50 million compared to $69 million in the prior year [14][15] - Nuclear generation was approximately 7.9 terawatt hours in Q3 2025, slightly down from 8.1 terawatt hours in Q3 2024, but year-to-date nuclear generation increased to 23.8 terawatt hours from 23.3 terawatt hours [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The capacity factors for the nuclear fleet were 92.4% and 93.7% for the quarter and nine-month period ended September 30, 2025, respectively [16] - The company noted that imports have grown to over 40% of its generation consumption, highlighting a significant reliance on external sources [6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - PSEG is focused on operational excellence and cost discipline to maintain reliability and provide value for customers, with a capital spending program aimed at modernizing New Jersey's energy infrastructure [4][5] - The company is actively collaborating with policymakers to address the supply-demand imbalance in New Jersey, emphasizing the need for additional generation supply [5][6] - PSEG is pursuing opportunities in regulated generation, unregulated generation, and renewable energy sources, including solar and battery storage [36] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in working with the incoming administration to address rising costs and supply issues, emphasizing the need for more generation supply to meet customer demand [5][10] - The company reaffirmed its long-term non-GAAP operating earnings growth outlook of 5% to 7% through 2029, supported by capital investment programs and nuclear production tax credits [18] Other Important Information - PSEG's liquidity as of September was $3.6 billion, including $330 million in cash [17] - The company issued $450 million of secured medium-term notes in August 2025 and redeemed $550 million of notes at maturity [17] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of elections on data center deals - Management indicated that they expect to work with both sides of the aisle post-election and noted that data center opportunities in New Jersey have not slowed down [26][27] Question: Differences in contracting conversations between New Jersey and Pennsylvania - Management noted that while there is interest in both states, Pennsylvania has a more forward-leaning appetite for larger-scale projects compared to New Jersey [33] Question: Supply additions and stakeholder collaboration - Management expressed willingness to help the state achieve its goals in a regulated capacity and mentioned potential opportunities in gas generation and solar projects [35][36] Question: Affordability concerns and regulatory approaches - Management emphasized the importance of addressing affordability and reliability issues, indicating that both candidates for governor understand the need for more supply [56][58] Question: Future capital plans and equity needs - Management reassured that they can manage capital needs without issuing new equity, with a full update expected in the fourth quarter [108][109]