Investment Super - cycle
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US electric utilities entering investment ‘super-cycle,’ says Morningstar DBRS
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-27 09:26
Core Insights - U.S. electric utilities are entering a five-year capital expenditure "super-cycle" to expand transmission and generation networks due to rising demand from data centers [1][2] - Investment in electricity infrastructure is projected to reach $1.4 trillion from 2025 to 2030, which is double the amount invested in the previous decade [2] - Load growth is expected to increase from an estimated 6.1% to around 11.6% over the next decade, indicating a significant rise in electricity demand [2] Industry Challenges and Opportunities - The rapid buildout of data centers presents challenges for utilities, including the need for decarbonization and ensuring grid reliability while increasing renewable energy contributions [3] - Regulated utilities with supportive regulatory environments and strong credit ratings are expected to capitalize on the data center boom through necessary capital expenditures [3] - Elevated risks of resource inadequacy are anticipated in states like California, Texas, and Louisiana, which could lead to electricity shortfalls under extreme conditions [3] Capital Expenditure Trends - Morningstar's analysis aligns with the Edison Electric Institute's estimates, which predict continued growth in U.S. electricity generation [4] - Electricity generation is projected to rise by 3% in 2024, with generation investments as a share of total capital expenditures increasing for four consecutive years [4] - The surge in electricity demand, following years of stagnation, poses challenges for utilities in managing infrastructure and meeting new demand [5]