Core Insights - The strong performance of gold is primarily driven by rising investment demand, particularly from institutional buying and gold-backed ETFs, alongside individual purchases of gold bars and coins [1][5] - Central banks continue to support gold demand, accounting for approximately 20% of global demand, although their purchasing rate has slowed compared to record levels in 2022 [2][13] - Jewelry demand has declined in volume due to higher prices, confirming that investment demand is the main driver of the gold market [3] Investment Demand - Investment demand for gold in the Middle East grew by 4% in the first half of 2025, while jewelry demand declined due to elevated gold prices [6] - Gold-backed ETFs experienced a 6.1% increase in total assets during Q3 2025, equivalent to around 222 tons, with a total increase of 20% since the beginning of the year [5] Geopolitical and Economic Factors - Rising geopolitical and economic turbulence, including regional tensions and inflationary pressures, are influencing gold prices, enhancing its appeal as a safe haven [6][7] - The correlation between the Global Geopolitical Risk Index and gold prices indicates that a 100-basis-point rise in the index typically corresponds to a 2.5% increase in gold prices [9] Market Dynamics - Recent sharp increases in gold prices are largely attributed to tactical activities from hedge funds and speculative investors, which may lead to short-term price corrections [10] - The valuation of gold serves as a diversification tool and store of value, showing an inverse relationship with stock markets during downturns [11] Central Bank Trends - Central banks are expected to remain active players in the gold market, with a survey indicating expectations for global gold reserves to continue increasing [13] - The World Gold Council has adjusted its forecast for central bank demand downward due to soaring prices but raised expectations for investment demand [14] Future Outlook - The future direction of US interest rates is crucial for investors, with the Federal Reserve's fiscal policy expected to shape the global trajectory of gold prices [15]

Neils ChristensenNeils Christensen has a diploma in journalism from Lethbridge College and has more than a decade of reporting experience working for news organizations throughout Canada. His experiences include covering territorial and federal politics in Nunavut, Canada. He has worked exclusively within the financial sector since 2007, when he started with the Canadian Economic Press. Neils can be contacted at: 1 866 925 4826 ext. 1526 nchristensen at kitco.com @Neils_cShareDisclaimer: The views expressed ...

Neils ChristensenNeils Christensen has a diploma in journalism from Lethbridge College and has more than a decade of reporting experience working for news organizations throughout Canada. His experiences include covering territorial and federal politics in Nunavut, Canada. He has worked exclusively within the financial sector since 2007, when he started with the Canadian Economic Press. Neils can be contacted at: 1 866 925 4826 ext. 1526 nchristensen at kitco.com @Neils_cShareDisclaimer: The views expressed ...